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NUENucor CorporationSell6.7·$273.53
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nucor is a high-growth steel producer trading at a forward P/E of 15.7x with a PEG of 0.04, supported by 21% YoY revenue growth and a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but momentum is marginally below threshold and the stock sits near analyst targets, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • Insider Signal And Low Short Interest↓Deteriorating
  • Low Peg Growth At Value↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nucor Corporation (NUE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Sector Rotation edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $273.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales... Read more

$273.53-2.6% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 14 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.48%
IncomeYield0.82%(5y avg 1.31%)Payout17.78%sustainable
Stop $254.55Analyst target $266.29(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$295.88+8.2%16 analysts with price targets
$273.53price
$295.88mean
$226
$335

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $273.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — Nucor Corporation

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:29:28Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jan 25, 202782d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.7
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$62.1B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE17.6%
Rev Growth32.0%
Beta1.81
Dividend0.82%
Analysts with ratings23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.70bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$390+42.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $244.90Resistance $287.70

Price Targets

A.Upside-2.6%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.6% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-25 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NUE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $273.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $254.55. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NUE stock price target?

Analyst target $266.29 reached (−2.6% from $273.53); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $254.55. Stop-loss: $254.55.

What are the risks of investing in NUE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is NUE overvalued or undervalued?

Nucor Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.7 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NUE?

23 analysts rate NUE, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $296.

What does Nucor Corporation do?The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing...

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales companies that buy and sell steel and steel products manufactured by the Company and others.

Related stocks: STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.) · GGB (Gerdau S.A.) · RS (Reliance, Inc.) · TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.) · MT (Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shar)
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