Skip to main content

Nucor Corporation (NUE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $221.73 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales... Read more

$221.73+4.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 10 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.74%
IncomeYield0.99%(5y avg 1.42%)Payout22.02%sustainable
Stop $210.63Target $230.74(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$240.71+8.6%13 analysts
$230.74our TP
$221.73price
$240.71mean
$138
$275

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $221.73 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Nucor Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.5
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$51.6B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn6.8%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth21.3%
Beta1.88
Dividend0.99%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV42%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (b) On February 27, 2026, Daniel R. Needham, Executive Vice President of Commercial at Nucor Corporation (the Company), notified the Company's Board of Directors that he will be retiring from the Company effective June 20, 2026. Mr.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On February 26, 2026, the Company and Mr. Sullivan entered into an Executive Employment Agreement (the "Executive Employment Agreement"), effective March 1, 2026, in connection with Mr. Sullivan's promotion to Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Executive Vice President of the Company.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (c) On February 19, 2026, the Board of Directors of Nucor Corporation (the "Company") elected John L.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $210.12Resistance $235.45

Price Targets

$211
$231
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.6% upside)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NUE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $221.73 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $210.63. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NUE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $230.74 (+4.1% upside). Prior stop was $210.63. Stop-loss: $210.63.

What are the risks of investing in NUE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is NUE overvalued or undervalued?

Nucor Corporation trades at a P/E of 22.5 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NUE?

22 analysts cover NUE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $241.

What does Nucor Corporation do?The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing...

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales companies that buy and sell steel and steel products manufactured by the Company and others.

Related stocks: STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.) · TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.) · RS (Reliance, Inc.) · MT (Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shar) · PKX (POSCO Holdings Inc.)