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NUENucor CorporationHold6.4·$246.11
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nucor is a high-growth steel producer trading at a forward P/E of 15.7x with a PEG of 0.04, supported by 21% YoY revenue growth and a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but momentum is marginally below threshold and the stock sits near analyst targets, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • Insider Signal And Low Short Interest→Stable
  • Low Peg Growth At Value↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nucor Corporation (NUE) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $246.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales... Read more

$246.11+3.7% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 14 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.21%
IncomeYield0.91%(5y avg 1.41%)Payout17.80%sustainable
Stop $233.97Target $255.26(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$283.63+15.2%16 analysts
$255.26our TP
$246.11price
$283.63mean
$231
$310

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $246.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 26, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.7%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.8
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$56.3B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth23.0%
Beta1.88
Dividend0.91%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.83bearish
IV40%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (e) On June 16, 2026, the Company and Mr. Needham entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Needham's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 20, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (e) On May 28, 2026, the Company and Mr. Sumoski entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Sumoski's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 13, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $241.21Resistance $268.47

Price Targets

$234
$255
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-26 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NUE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $246.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $255.26 (+3.7%), stop $233.97 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NUE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $255.26 (+3.7% upside). Target $255.26 (+3.7%), stop $233.97 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $233.97.

What are the risks of investing in NUE?

Thin upside margin: 3.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is NUE overvalued or undervalued?

Nucor Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.8 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NUE?

24 analysts cover NUE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $284.

What does Nucor Corporation do?The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing...

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales companies that buy and sell steel and steel products manufactured by the Company and others.

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