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Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MIRM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $96.10: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Concentration risk — Product: approved medicines.

Mirum Pharmaceuticals is a rare disease biopharma with three approved medicines: Livmarli (maralixibat, for ALGS and PFIC), Cholbam (cholic acid, for bile acid synthesis disorders), and Ctexli (chenodiol, for CTX). It commercializes these products in the US, Canada, and select... Read more

$96.10+17.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#26 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $90.06Target $112.86(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$129.73+35.0%11 analysts
$112.86our TP
$96.10price
$129.73mean
$150

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $96.10: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Concentration risk — Product: approved medicines. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.75)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: approved medicines
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-9420.0
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA2666.2
Profit Mgn-4.5%
ROE-8.6%
Rev Growth49.8%
Beta0.52
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV95%elevated
Max Pain$80-16.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductapproved medicines
    10-K Item 1A: 'The success of our business depends, in part, on our ability to market and sell our approved medicines profitably.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $90.00Resistance $99.41

Price Targets

$90
$113
A.Upside+17.4%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MIRM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $96.10: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Concentration risk — Product: approved medicines. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $90.06. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MIRM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $112.86 (+17.4% upside). Prior stop was $90.06. Stop-loss: $90.06.

What are the risks of investing in MIRM?

Concentration risk — Product: approved medicines; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is MIRM overvalued or undervalued?

Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -9420.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MIRM?

17 analysts cover MIRM with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $130.

What does Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Mirum Pharmaceuticals is a rare disease biopharma with three approved medicines: Livmarli (maralixibat, for ALGS and...

Mirum Pharmaceuticals is a rare disease biopharma with three approved medicines: Livmarli (maralixibat, for ALGS and PFIC), Cholbam (cholic acid, for bile acid synthesis disorders), and Ctexli (chenodiol, for CTX). It commercializes these products in the US, Canada, and select European markets, while advancing volixibat and brelovitug in clinical trials.

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