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Miami International Holdings, I (MIAX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.98 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: net transaction and clearing fees (60.6%).

Miami International Holdings operates regulated financial exchange marketplaces including MIAX Options, MIAX Pearl (equities and options), MIAX Emerald, MIAX Sapphire, MIAX Futures, the Bermuda Stock Exchange, TISEG, and Dorman Trading FCM. Net transaction and clearing fees... Read more

$46.98-0.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#33 of 40 Capital Markets
Stop $44.55Target $46.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$48.40+3.0%5 analysts
$46.92our TP
$46.98price
$48.40mean
$40
$59

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.98 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: net transaction and clearing fees (60.6%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: net transaction and clearing fees (60.6%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)27.1
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA28.1
Profit Mgn-5.1%
ROE-11.2%
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$25-46.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductnet transaction and clearing fees61%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 60.6% and 51.6% of our revenues less cost of revenues for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively, were from net transaction and clearing fees'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02LOW
    Lee Becker notified Board on March 24, 2026 he will not stand for re-election at 2026 Annual Meeting; no disagreement cited. Jill E. Sommers elected as new director effective March 25, 2026 to fill an existing vacancy.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOW
    Board Director Murray Stahl passed away on April 7, 2026. The Company expressed gratitude for his service and contributions.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
3.2
Value Rank
4.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
8.3
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $38.75Resistance $47.88

Price Targets

$45
$47
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MIAX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.98 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: net transaction and clearing fees (60.6%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $44.55. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the MIAX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.92 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $44.55. Stop-loss: $44.55.

What are the risks of investing in MIAX?

Concentration risk — Product: net transaction and clearing fees (60.6%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5.

Is MIAX overvalued or undervalued?

Miami International Holdings, I trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 27.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MIAX?

11 analysts cover MIAX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Miami International Holdings, I do?Miami International Holdings operates regulated financial exchange marketplaces including MIAX Options, MIAX Pearl...

Miami International Holdings operates regulated financial exchange marketplaces including MIAX Options, MIAX Pearl (equities and options), MIAX Emerald, MIAX Sapphire, MIAX Futures, the Bermuda Stock Exchange, TISEG, and Dorman Trading FCM. Net transaction and clearing fees accounted for 60.6% of revenues less cost of revenues in fiscal 2025.

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