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MCKMcKesson CorporationSell5.4·$785.43+0.72%
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McKesson Corporation (MCK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $785.43: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

McKesson is a diversified healthcare services company with four segments—North American Pharmaceutical distribution, Oncology & Multispecialty, Prescription Technology Solutions, and Medical-Surgical Solutions—serving pharmacies, hospitals, and providers across North America.... Read more

$785.43+7.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#2 of 5 Medical Distribution
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.20%
IncomeYield0.42%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout8.26%sustainable
Stop $750.55Target $847.26(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$941.40+19.9%15 analysts
$847.26our TP
$785.43price
$941.40mean
$1065

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $785.43: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About McKesson Corporation

About McKesson Corporation

McKesson Corporation distributes branded, generic, specialty, biosimilar, and OTC pharmaceuticals through 27 U.S. distribution centers and approximately 2,600 Canadian independent pharmacy franchises, competing directly with Cencora, Inc. and Cardinal Health, Inc. across North American pharmaceutical distribution. Four operating segments employed more than 43,000 people as of March 31, 2026 — roughly 38,000 in the U.S., 5,000 in Canada, and 400 internationally — making McKesson one of the largest pharmaceutical distributors in North America.

McKesson earns revenue through pharmaceutical wholesale to three primary U.S. channels: retail national accounts (chain pharmacies, mail-order, mass merchandisers), community pharmacies (including the Health Mart franchise network of approximately 3,900 locations), and institutional providers such as hospitals and integrated delivery networks. The Oncology & Multispecialty segment supports the U.S. Oncology Network, holds an 80% controlling interest in PRISM Vision for ophthalmology, and a 51% stake in Sarah Cannon Research Institute. The Prescription Technology Solutions segment connects more than 50,000 pharmacies and 1,000,000 providers to 650+ biopharma brands, helping patients access medicines more than 135 million times annually and save about $10 billion on medications. Generic sourcing is conducted through ClarusONE Sourcing Services LLP, a joint venture with Walmart Inc.

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McKesson's most pronounced litigation exposure is its role as a defendant in opioid distribution cases brought by governmental entities — states, counties, and municipalities — and the company is subject to consent decrees issued by state courts governing controlled substance distribution. In April 2026, the company disclosed via Form 8-K the refinancing of credit facilities, entering a new revolving credit agreement with Bank of America as administrative agent while terminating the existing $1.0 billion 364-day and $4.0 billion five-year senior unsecured revolving credit facilities. The planned separation of Medical-Surgical Solutions into an independent publicly traded company — contingent on a favorable tax-free ruling, SEC registration effectiveness, Board approval, and regulatory clearances — adds execution complexity over the near term.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Distribution

From McKesson Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.3
P/E (Fwd)15.5
Mkt Cap$91.3B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta0.32
Dividend0.42%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV37%normal
Max Pain$1220+55.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 1.02MEDIUM
    McKesson terminated its existing $1.0B 364-day and $4.0B five-year revolving credit facilities on April 24, 2026, replacing them with a new consolidated $5B revolving credit facility. Successor agreement in place.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Britt J. Vitalone gave notice of retirement; last day as CFO May 28, 2026. Kenny K. Cheung (former CFO of Sysco) appointed new CFO effective May 29, 2026. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.9
Support Resistance
2.1
52w Position
5.7

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.6
Operating Margin
0.9
Roa
3.3
Current Ratio
3.4
Moat
4.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
7.9
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $729.19Resistance $800.36

Price Targets

$751
$847
A.Upside+7.9%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MCK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $785.43: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $750.55. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MCK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $847.26 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $750.55. Stop-loss: $750.55.

What are the risks of investing in MCK?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is MCK overvalued or undervalued?

McKesson Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.3 (forward 15.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MCK?

23 analysts cover MCK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $941.

What does McKesson Corporation do?McKesson is a diversified healthcare services company with four segments—North American Pharmaceutical distribution,...

McKesson is a diversified healthcare services company with four segments—North American Pharmaceutical distribution, Oncology & Multispecialty, Prescription Technology Solutions, and Medical-Surgical Solutions—serving pharmacies, hospitals, and providers across North America. With 43,000+ employees and 27 U.S. pharmaceutical distribution centers, it has announced plans to separate its Medical-Surgical segment.

Related stocks: COR (Cencora, Inc.) · HSIC (Henry Schein, Inc.) · CAH (Cardinal Health, Inc.) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.)
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