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Maze Therapeutics, Inc. (MAZE) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.56: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 10.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Maze Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing small molecule precision medicines for kidney and metabolic diseases using its Compass genetics platform. Its two lead programs—MZE829 (Phase 2 for APOL1-mediated kidney disease) and MZE782 (Phase 2 ready... Read more

$25.56+114.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#68 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-5.78%
Stop $24.06Target $54.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 10.6:1
Analyst target$63.00+146.5%11 analysts
$54.81our TP
$25.56price
$63.00mean
$110

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.56: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 10.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Maze Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: MZE829
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-7.9
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA-8.5
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-38.7%
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineMZE829
    10-K Item 1A: 'We initiated a Phase 2 trial of MZE829, our most advanced lead program, in November 2024, dosed our first patient in February 2025 and reported positive topline clinical proof of concept data in March 2026'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-25Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Neil Kumar (co-founder and CEO of BridgeBio Pharma) as a Class I director effective March 27, 2026. No officer departures.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
3.7
Growth Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Moat
6.2
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -409% of revenue

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 10.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 87d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.80Resistance $29.09

Price Targets

$24
$55
A.Upside+114.4%
A.R:R10.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (87d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAZE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.56: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 10.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $24.06. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAZE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.81 (+114.4% upside). Prior stop was $24.06. Stop-loss: $24.06.

What are the risks of investing in MAZE?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: MZE829; Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is MAZE overvalued or undervalued?

Maze Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAZE?

12 analysts cover MAZE with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Maze Therapeutics, Inc. do?Maze Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing small molecule precision medicines for...

Maze Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing small molecule precision medicines for kidney and metabolic diseases using its Compass genetics platform. Its two lead programs—MZE829 (Phase 2 for APOL1-mediated kidney disease) and MZE782 (Phase 2 ready for PKU and CKD)—generate no product revenue; operations are funded by equity and a $200M Hercules term loan.

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