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MANUManchesterSell4.8·$22.92+4.37%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Manchester's technical setup shows genuine breakout momentum with the price above all key moving averages and revenue growth as a clear fundamental positive, but a 157.5x forward multiple on near-zero free cash flow, an average earnings surprise of -20.7% over the trailing year, and only 1.9% headroom to the price target combine to make the risk/reward clearly unfavorable at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Valuation Zero Fcf BaseStable
  • Revenue Growth Genuine PositiveStable
  • Erratic Earnings DeliveryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Manchester (MANU) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.92: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Manchester United plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a professional sports team in the United Kingdom. The company is involved in marketing and sponsorship relationships with international and regional companies to commercialize its brand. It also markets and sells... Read more

$22.92+3.6% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#22 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.06%
Stop $21.34Target $23.74(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$25.59+11.7%3 analysts
$23.74our TP
$22.92price
$25.59mean
$21
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.92: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 16, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-5.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)157.9
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA21.6
Profit Mgn-2.6%
ROE-9.6%
Rev Growth18.0%
Beta0.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
1.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
8.4
Forward P/E: 157.9xPEG: 0.77Expensive valuation

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.4
Macd
0.5
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
1.5
Rule Of 40
3.0
Fcf Quality
3.1
Operating Margin
5.7
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
10.0
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 0%, FCF yield 0.1%)Rule of 40: 18 (fail)
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.88Resistance $24.22

Price Targets

$21
$24
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-16 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MANU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.92: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.34. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MANU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.74 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $21.34. Stop-loss: $21.34.

What are the risks of investing in MANU?

Target reached (-5.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is MANU overvalued or undervalued?

Manchester trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 157.9). TrendMatrix value score: 2.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MANU?

9 analysts cover MANU with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Manchester do?Manchester United plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a professional sports team in the United Kingdom. The...

Manchester United plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a professional sports team in the United Kingdom. The company is involved in marketing and sponsorship relationships with international and regional companies to commercialize its brand. It also markets and sells sports apparel, training and leisure wear, and other clothing; and other licensed products, such as coffee mugs and home accessories featuring the Manchester United brand and trademarks through Manchester United branded retail centers and e-commerce platforms, and through partners' wholesale distribution channels. In addition, the company distributes live football content directly, as well as through commercial partners; television rights relating to the Premier League, Union of European Football Associations club competitions, and other competitions, as well as delivers Manchester United programming through the MUTV television channel to territories worldwide. Further, it operates Old Trafford, a sports venue, as well as owns or leases, and invests in properties. The company was formerly known as Manchester United Ltd. changed its name to Manchester United plc in August 2012. Manchester United plc was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Manchester, the United Kingdom.

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