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LYVLive Nation Entertainment, Inc.Sell4.9·$174.34+1.06%
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Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $174.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Live Nation is the largest live music concert promoter globally, promoting ~55,000 events annually in 55 countries through 460 owned/operated/booked venues, and distributing 646 million tickets via Ticketmaster to 10,500 clients worldwide. Revenue in 2025 came from three... Read more

$174.34-1.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#23 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield5.28%
Stop $165.07Target $172.48(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$185.43+6.4%23 analysts
$172.48our TP
$174.34price
$185.43mean
$145
$206

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $174.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.

About Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.

Live Nation Entertainment connected over 805 million fans to live events across 55 countries during 2025, promoting roughly 55,000 shows featuring about 11,000 artists. The Concerts segment generated $20.9 billion, or 83% of total revenue; the Ticketing segment added $3.1 billion (12%); and Sponsorship & Advertising contributed $1.3 billion (5%). The company's venue portfolio comprised 460 venues globally at year-end, including 78 amphitheaters, 112 theaters, 125 clubs, and 41 arenas.

Live Nation earns concert promotion revenue primarily from ticket sales — paying artists fixed guarantees or revenue-percentage formulas — and venue operations income from concessions, parking, premium seating, and rental rebates. Festivals (131 globally in 2025) generate additional revenue from tickets, concessions, camping fees, and service charges. Ticketmaster operates as a ticketing agency under multi-year exclusive agreements, typically 3-5 years, with 10,500 clients, collecting per-ticket convenience fees and order service charges; the company sold approximately 346 million fee-generating tickets plus about 300 million additional tickets without fees in 2025. Sponsorship income comes from brands including Citibank, O2, Mastercard, Cisco, Red Bull, and Anheuser Busch, which purchase venue signage, naming rights, and promotional programs. Competition in live music comes from other promoters and venue operators competing to book artists; in ticketing, from self-ticketing platforms and secondary resale marketplaces. Artist fees are typically fixed guarantees and represent substantial direct operating expenses relative to revenue.

Show full overview

Ticketmaster faces disclosure and operating restrictions from agreements with the FTC and attorneys general of several states — constraints the 10-K describes as limitations not faced by competitors — including requirements to conspicuously flag resale links and meet specific in-hand disclosure requirements for secondary ticket listings. The Astroworld festival litigation, resolved since early 2025, confirmed that Live Nation incurred losses exceeding insurance recovery, a precedent the 10-K addresses when discussing the adequacy of event liability coverage across its portfolio of large-scale outdoor festivals and concerts.

See also: Communication Services · Entertainment

From Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Concerts segment (83.0%)
Target reached (-4.3% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)78.1
Mkt Cap$40.1B
EV/EBITDA28.9
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$65-62.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductConcerts segment83%
    10-K Item 1: 'our Concerts business generated $20.9 billion, or 83%, of our total revenue during 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
1.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
9.3
Forward P/E: 78.1x

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Gross Margin
1.2
Roa
1.5
Current Ratio
3.5
Roe
5.0
Moat
5.4
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $158.02Resistance $176.00

Price Targets

$165
$172
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LYV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $174.34: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $165.07. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LYV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $172.48 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $165.07. Stop-loss: $165.07.

What are the risks of investing in LYV?

Concentration risk — Product: Concerts segment (83.0%); Target reached (-4.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is LYV overvalued or undervalued?

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 78.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LYV?

31 analysts cover LYV with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $185.

What does Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. do?Live Nation is the largest live music concert promoter globally, promoting ~55,000 events annually in 55 countries...

Live Nation is the largest live music concert promoter globally, promoting ~55,000 events annually in 55 countries through 460 owned/operated/booked venues, and distributing 646 million tickets via Ticketmaster to 10,500 clients worldwide. Revenue in 2025 came from three segments: Concerts ($20.9 billion, 83% of total), Ticketing ($3.1 billion, 12%), and Sponsorship & Advertising ($1.3 billion, 5%).

Related stocks: NFLX (Netflix, Inc.) · NWSA (News Corporation) · FWONK (Liberty Media Corporation - Ser) · SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) · WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.)
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