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Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $167.49: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.34; Below-average business quality.

Live Nation is the largest live music concert promoter globally, promoting ~55,000 events annually in 55 countries through 460 owned/operated/booked venues, and distributing 646 million tickets via Ticketmaster to 10,500 clients worldwide. Revenue in 2025 came from three... Read more

$167.49+1.3% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#23 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield5.44%
Stop $157.37Target $169.66(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$184.78+10.3%23 analysts
$169.66our TP
$167.49price
$184.78mean
$145
$206

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $167.49: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.34; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val3.4Qual3.6Grw5.5Mom6.9Sent6.2Ins3.9Peer5.7Tech4.6Risk3.94.7OVERALL

Recent Developments — Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Concerts segment (83.0%)
Target reached (-0.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)77.5
Mkt Cap$39.0B
EV/EBITDA28.2
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.34bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$110-34.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductConcerts segment83%
    10-K Item 1: 'our Concerts business generated $20.9 billion, or 83%, of our total revenue during 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
1.1
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
9.3
Forward P/E: 77.5x

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Gross Margin
1.2
Roa
1.5
Current Ratio
3.5
Roe
5.0
Moat
5.4
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $151.06Resistance $173.12

Price Targets

$157
$170
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LYV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $167.49: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.34; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $157.37. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LYV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $169.66 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $157.37. Stop-loss: $157.37.

What are the risks of investing in LYV?

Concentration risk — Product: Concerts segment (83.0%); Target reached (-0.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is LYV overvalued or undervalued?

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 77.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LYV?

31 analysts cover LYV with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $185.

What does Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. do?Live Nation is the largest live music concert promoter globally, promoting ~55,000 events annually in 55 countries...

Live Nation is the largest live music concert promoter globally, promoting ~55,000 events annually in 55 countries through 460 owned/operated/booked venues, and distributing 646 million tickets via Ticketmaster to 10,500 clients worldwide. Revenue in 2025 came from three segments: Concerts ($20.9 billion, 83% of total), Ticketing ($3.1 billion, 12%), and Sponsorship & Advertising ($1.3 billion, 5%).

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