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Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $155.16, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 6.3%.

Live Nation is the largest live entertainment company globally by fan reach, connecting 805 million fans across concerts, venues, and Ticketmaster ticketing in 55 countries in 2025. It earns revenue from promoting 55,000 events with 159 million fans, ticket fees through... Read more

$155.16+6.3% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#22 of 27 Entertainment
Stop $144.78Target $164.90(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$183.22+18.1%23 analysts
$164.90our TP
$155.16price
$183.22mean
$140
$206

Sell if holding. At $155.16, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 6.3%. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.3%
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)68.8
Mkt Cap$36.0B
EV/EBITDA20.6
Profit Mgn2.0%
ROE36.7%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$95-38.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductonline and mobile sales of tickets
    10-K Item 1A: 'the substantial majority of our Ticketing segment revenue will be derived from both online and mobile sales of tickets.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 5 days

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
1.5
Peg Ratio
1.9
Analyst Target
6.0
Ps
9.4
Forward P/E: 68.8xPEG: 6.00
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $149.26Resistance $168.55

Price Targets

$145
$165
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LYV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $155.16, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 6.3%. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $144.78. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the LYV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $164.90 (+6.3% upside). Prior stop was $144.78. Stop-loss: $144.78.

What are the risks of investing in LYV?

Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is LYV overvalued or undervalued?

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 68.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LYV?

31 analysts cover LYV with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $183.

What does Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. do?Live Nation is the largest live entertainment company globally by fan reach, connecting 805 million fans across...

Live Nation is the largest live entertainment company globally by fan reach, connecting 805 million fans across concerts, venues, and Ticketmaster ticketing in 55 countries in 2025. It earns revenue from promoting 55,000 events with 159 million fans, ticket fees through Ticketmaster serving 10,500 clients, venue operations, and sponsorship partnerships.

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