A forward multiple of 8.4x and roughly 14% upside to the analyst target create an apparently favorable risk/reward geometry, but below-threshold business quality, a 6% revenue decline, and an erratic earnings record make the setup uninvestable until the cyclical trough is confirmed and fundamental quality recovers.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Investable Floor→Stable
- Revenue Declining Six Percent→Stable
- Erratic Earnings Delivery→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.23: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.97; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, China, Mexico, Italy, Japan, France, Poland, the Netherlands, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Olefins and PolyolefinsAmericas; Olefins and PolyolefinsEurope, Asia,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.23: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.97; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — LyondellBasell Industries NV
Latest news
- NEWS BMO Capital Maintains Market Perform on LyondellBasell Industries, Lowers Price Target to $64 — benzinga Jul 6, 2026 negative
- NEWS Mizuho Maintains Neutral on LyondellBasell Industries, Lowers Price Target to $62 — benzinga Jul 1, 2026 neutral
- NEWS B of A Securities Maintains Underperform on LyondellBasell Industries, Lowers Price Target to $48 — benzinga Jun 30, 2026 negative
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy on LyondellBasell Industries, Lowers Price Target to $67 — benzinga Jun 24, 2026 positive
- NEWS UBS Maintains Neutral on LyondellBasell Industries, Lowers Price Target to $73 — benzinga Jun 5, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-07-07T12:21:43Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicEurope10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our revenues are derived from our business in Europe'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOWOn May 22, 2026, LyondellBasell shareholders at annual general meeting approved amendment and restatement of the Long Term Incentive Plan. Filing describes compensatory arrangement update; no director or officer departure cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -6.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.23: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.97; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $50.42. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $65.54 (+23.7% upside). Prior stop was $50.42. Stop-loss: $50.42.
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).
LyondellBasell Industries NV trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover LYB with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $73.
What does LyondellBasell Industries NV do?LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, China, Mexico, Italy,...
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, China, Mexico, Italy, Japan, France, Poland, the Netherlands, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Olefins and PolyolefinsAmericas; Olefins and PolyolefinsEurope, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; and Technology. The company produces and markets olefins and co-products, such as ethylene, aromatics, propylene and butadiene; polyolefins; polyethylene; polypropylene homopolymers and copolymers; propylene oxide and derivatives; oxyfuels and related products; and intermediate chemicals, such as styrene monomer and acetyls. It also produces and markets compounding and solutions, including polypropylene compounds, engineered plastics, masterbatches, and engineered composites and colors. In addition, it develops and licenses chemical and polyolefin process technologies; and manufactures and sells polyolefin catalysts and serves food packaging, home furnishings, automotive components, and paints and coatings applications. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Rotterdam, the Netherlands.