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Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Concentration risk — Geographic: Macao and Singapore.

Las Vegas Sands develops and operates Integrated Resorts in Macao (via 74.80% Sands China Ltd.) and Singapore (Marina Bay Sands), featuring gaming, hotels, retail malls, and convention facilities. Revenue is predominantly gaming-based focused on mass and premium mass segments;... Read more

$53.50+16.5% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 12 Resorts & Casinos
Stop $50.18Target $62.61(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$69.56+30.0%19 analysts
$62.61our TP
$53.50price
$69.56mean
$79

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Concentration risk — Geographic: Macao and Singapore. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Macao and Singapore
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.8
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$35.6B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE90.5%
Rev Growth25.3%
Beta0.89
Dividend2.05%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.66bullish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$49-8.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMacao and Singapore
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are primarily dependent upon our Asia properties for all of our cash flow ... our operations are conducted primarily at properties in Macao and Singapore'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-13Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chairman and CEO Robert G. Goldstein to transition to senior advisor effective March 1, 2026. Patrick Dumont (President and COO) appointed as Chairman, CEO, President, and Treasurer effective March 1, 2026. Named successor; clean handoff.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    New employment agreements disclosed for CEO Patrick Dumont, CFO Randy Hyzak, and GC D. Zachary Hudson, each effective March 2, 2026 through March 2, 2031. Compensatory arrangements only; no new departures or appointments.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $50.05Resistance $58.46

Price Targets

$50
$63
A.Upside+17.0%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LVS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Concentration risk — Geographic: Macao and Singapore. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $50.18. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LVS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.61 (+16.5% upside). Prior stop was $50.18. Stop-loss: $50.18.

What are the risks of investing in LVS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Macao and Singapore; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5.

Is LVS overvalued or undervalued?

Las Vegas Sands Corp. trades at a P/E of 19.8 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LVS?

25 analysts cover LVS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Las Vegas Sands Corp. do?Las Vegas Sands develops and operates Integrated Resorts in Macao (via 74.80% Sands China Ltd.) and Singapore (Marina...

Las Vegas Sands develops and operates Integrated Resorts in Macao (via 74.80% Sands China Ltd.) and Singapore (Marina Bay Sands), featuring gaming, hotels, retail malls, and convention facilities. Revenue is predominantly gaming-based focused on mass and premium mass segments; all cash flow is dependent on Asia properties with no remaining US gaming operations.

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