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LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.Sell6.8·$48.93-1.63%
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Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $48.93 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Concentration risk — Geographic: Macao and Singapore.

Las Vegas Sands Corp. owns and operates Integrated Resorts in Macao through 74.80%-owned Sands China Ltd. (six properties) and Singapore's Marina Bay Sands, generating revenue from gaming, hotel, retail malls, MICE facilities, and food and beverage. Macao contributed 44% and... Read more

$48.93+27.1% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 12 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.92%
IncomeYield2.21%(5y avg 4.75%)Payout38.75%sustainable
Stop $46.78Target $62.18(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst target$69.09+41.2%19 analysts
$62.18our TP
$48.93price
$69.09mean
$79

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $48.93 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Concentration risk — Geographic: Macao and Singapore. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Macao and Singapore
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.4
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$33.0B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE90.5%
Rev Growth25.3%
Beta0.81
Dividend2.21%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$80+63.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMacao and Singapore
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend primarily on our properties in two markets for all of our cash flow ... our operations are conducted primarily at properties in Macao and Singapore'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Macd
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $48.23Resistance $53.54

Price Targets

$47
$62
A.Upside+27.1%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LVS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $48.93 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Concentration risk — Geographic: Macao and Singapore. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $46.78. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LVS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.18 (+27.1% upside). Prior stop was $46.78. Stop-loss: $46.78.

What are the risks of investing in LVS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Macao and Singapore; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is LVS overvalued or undervalued?

Las Vegas Sands Corp. trades at a P/E of 18.4 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LVS?

25 analysts cover LVS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Las Vegas Sands Corp. do?Las Vegas Sands Corp. owns and operates Integrated Resorts in Macao through 74.80%-owned Sands China Ltd. (six...

Las Vegas Sands Corp. owns and operates Integrated Resorts in Macao through 74.80%-owned Sands China Ltd. (six properties) and Singapore's Marina Bay Sands, generating revenue from gaming, hotel, retail malls, MICE facilities, and food and beverage. Macao contributed 44% and Singapore 56% of total adjusted property EBITDA in 2025; the Macao gaming concession runs through December 2032.

Related stocks: HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) · WYNN (Wynn Resorts, Limited) · BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation) · RRR (Red Rock Resorts, Inc.) · MTN (Vail Resorts, Inc.)
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