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Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. At $27.51, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Concentration risk — Supplier: VICI and GLPI.

Caesars Entertainment is a diversified gaming and hospitality company with 52 domestic properties in 18 states plus online sports betting in 34 North American jurisdictions and iGaming in 5. Revenue primarily from gaming (~58% of 2025 net revenues), hotels (~17%), and... Read more

$27.51+8.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 12 Resorts & Casinos
Stop $25.60Target $29.80(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$33.11+20.4%18 analysts
$29.80our TP
$27.51price
$33.11mean
$24
$41

Sell if holding. At $27.51, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Concentration risk — Supplier: VICI and GLPI. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: VICI and GLPI
Thin upside margin: 8.8%
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)32.2
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-10.7%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.53bearish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$17-38.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierVICI and GLPI
    10-K Item 1A: 'properties subject to our leases with VICI and GLPI are impacted by a casualty event, such leases require us to repair or restore the affected properties'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.8
Macd
2.9
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.91Resistance $28.80

Price Targets

$26
$30
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CZR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $27.51, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Concentration risk — Supplier: VICI and GLPI. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $25.60. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the CZR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.80 (+8.8% upside). Prior stop was $25.60. Stop-loss: $25.60.

What are the risks of investing in CZR?

Concentration risk — Supplier: VICI and GLPI; Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5.

Is CZR overvalued or undervalued?

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 32.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CZR?

24 analysts cover CZR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Caesars Entertainment, Inc. do?Caesars Entertainment is a diversified gaming and hospitality company with 52 domestic properties in 18 states plus...

Caesars Entertainment is a diversified gaming and hospitality company with 52 domestic properties in 18 states plus online sports betting in 34 North American jurisdictions and iGaming in 5. Revenue primarily from gaming (~58% of 2025 net revenues), hotels (~17%), and food/beverage (~15%). Operates Caesars Sportsbook, Caesars Racebook, and online casino apps.

Related stocks: LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) · MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) · MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment L) · MGM (MGM Resorts International) · VAC (Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co)