Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.21: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Intuitive Machines is a space infrastructure company building spacecraft, satellites (via Lanteris acquisition), and cislunar networks, with revenue primarily from U.S. government contracts including NASA CLPS lunar delivery, Near Space Network data relay, and the Lunar Terrain... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.21: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
About Intuitive Machines, Inc.
About Intuitive Machines, Inc.
Intuitive Machines' Build segment — designing, manufacturing, and delivering spacecraft, lunar landers, satellites, and surface systems — generates the majority of near-term revenue under contracts with NASA, the Space Development Agency, and the U.S. Department of Defense. The company had 525 employees as of December 31, 2025, expanding to approximately 1,695 following the January 13, 2026 acquisition of Lanteris Space Holdings. Operations span facilities in Houston, Texas; Glen Burnie, Maryland; Phoenix, Arizona; and, following the Lanteris acquisition, additional sites primarily in California.
Intuitive Machines earns revenue through government-funded contracts across three integrated capability pillars. Build contracts — including four NASA CLPS lunar surface cargo delivery missions, SDA Tranche 1, 2, and 3 satellite programs, and the NASA Lunar Terrain Vehicle development — are milestone-driven and provide most current-period revenue. Connect contracts cover NASA Near Space Network ground and data relay services; the company is the sole awardee for NSN data relay services (contract 2.2) that will deploy a satellite constellation around the Moon. Operate contracts include mission operations, navigation and timing services, and hosted payload data for civil and national security customers. Competitors on the CLPS contract include Astrobotic and Firefly Aerospace, while Lockheed Martin and Blue Origin pursue larger crewed lunar mission programs. The Lanteris acquisition added commercial GEO satellite manufacturing — the 1300-class bus is the most popular GEO satellite platform with over 95 spacecraft still operational — and competition from Airbus, Astranis, Northrop Grumman, and ThalesAlenia Space for commercial geostationary programs.
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Intuitive Machines is significantly dependent on U.S. government contracts, which are often only partially funded, subject to immediate termination, and heavily regulated, per the 10-K. For lunar missions specifically, the company relies on a single launch provider — an arrangement that exposes mission timelines to launch provider capacity constraints or pricing shifts with no ready alternate. The convergence of government funding dependency and a single-source launch provider means a disruption in either could materially affect the company's revenue and mission execution simultaneously.
See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
From Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Intuitive Machines, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS What's Going On With Intuitive Machines Stock Tuesday? — benzinga Jun 16, 2026 neutral
- NEWS SpaceX IPO Looms Ahead And These Rocket Stocks Are Popping: Here's What Is Going On With SPCE, ASTS, RKLB, LUNR And PL O — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 positive
- NEWS Houston, We Have A Rally: Space Stocks Pop Ahead Of SpaceX Debut — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 positive
- NEWS Intuitive Machines Shares Surge As Traders Shake Off SpaceX Pre-IPO Fatigue — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 positive
- NEWS Stitch Fix, Intel, KLA And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Thursday — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-06-17T09:12:25Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerNASA and U.S. government10-K Item 1A: 'We depend significantly on U.S. government contracts, which often are only partially funded, subject to immediate termination, and heavily regulated and audited'
- HIGHSuppliersingle launch provider for lunar missions10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a limited number of suppliers for certain materials and supplied components, including a single launch provider for our lunar missions'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-11Item 5.02LOWBoard approved cash transaction bonuses to CEO Stephen Altemus ($512,750) and CFO Peter McGrath ($247,500) in recognition of KinetX and Lanteris acquisitions. Routine compensatory arrangement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Unprofitable operations — net margin -32.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.21: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $24.69. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $35.48 (+35.1% upside). Prior stop was $24.69. Stop-loss: $24.69.
Concentration risk — Customer: NASA and U.S. government; Concentration risk — Supplier: single launch provider for lunar missions; Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).
Intuitive Machines, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -221.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover LUNR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $41.
What does Intuitive Machines, Inc. do?Intuitive Machines is a space infrastructure company building spacecraft, satellites (via Lanteris acquisition), and...
Intuitive Machines is a space infrastructure company building spacecraft, satellites (via Lanteris acquisition), and cislunar networks, with revenue primarily from U.S. government contracts including NASA CLPS lunar delivery, Near Space Network data relay, and the Lunar Terrain Vehicle program. The company acquired KinetX (navigation) in October 2025 and Lanteris (GEO satellite manufacturing) in January 2026, reaching approximately 1,695 combined employees.