Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.44: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.
Intuitive Machines is a space infrastructure company building spacecraft, satellites (via Lanteris acquisition), and cislunar networks, with revenue primarily from U.S. government contracts including NASA CLPS lunar delivery, Near Space Network data relay, and the Lunar Terrain... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.44: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Intuitive Machines, Inc.
Latest news
- Space Stocks Are Back In Orbit As SpaceX IPO Hype Builds — benzinga May 20, 2026 positive
- 10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today's Session — benzinga May 19, 2026 neutral
- Cantor Fitzgerald Maintains Overweight on Intuitive Machines, Raises Price Target to $43 — benzinga May 19, 2026 positive
- Intuitive Machines Reveals Two Prime Lunar Reconnaissance Contracts; Co. Awarded $15.5M Three-year LROC Contract And $4. — benzinga May 18, 2026 positive
- Canaccord Genuity Maintains Buy on Intuitive Machines, Raises Price Target to $41 — benzinga May 15, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerNASA and U.S. government10-K Item 1A: 'We depend significantly on U.S. government contracts, which often are only partially funded, subject to immediate termination, and heavily regulated and audited'
- HIGHSuppliersingle launch provider for lunar missions10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a limited number of suppliers for certain materials and supplied components, including a single launch provider for our lunar missions'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-11Item 5.02LOWBoard approved cash transaction bonuses to CEO Stephen Altemus ($512,750) and CFO Peter McGrath ($247,500) in recognition of KinetX and Lanteris acquisitions. Routine compensatory arrangement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Unprofitable operations — net margin -32.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.44: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $31.24. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $37.78 (+12.5% upside). Prior stop was $31.24. Stop-loss: $31.24.
Concentration risk — Customer: NASA and U.S. government; Concentration risk — Supplier: single launch provider for lunar missions; Target reached (-9.9% upside).
Intuitive Machines, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -319.9). TrendMatrix value score: 2.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover LUNR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $35.
What does Intuitive Machines, Inc. do?Intuitive Machines is a space infrastructure company building spacecraft, satellites (via Lanteris acquisition), and...
Intuitive Machines is a space infrastructure company building spacecraft, satellites (via Lanteris acquisition), and cislunar networks, with revenue primarily from U.S. government contracts including NASA CLPS lunar delivery, Near Space Network data relay, and the Lunar Terrain Vehicle program. The company acquired KinetX (navigation) in October 2025 and Lanteris (GEO satellite manufacturing) in January 2026, reaching approximately 1,695 combined employees.