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Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Subord (LSPD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.94: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 18.47; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Lightspeed Commerce Inc. engages in sale of cloud-based software subscriptions and payments solutions for single and multi-location retailers, restaurants, golf course operators, and other businesses. It offers a cloud-based commerce platform that connects suppliers, merchants,... Read more

$8.94+25.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#49 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $8.31Target $11.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$12.88+44.1%13 analysts
$11.21our TP
$8.94price
$12.88mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.94: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 18.47; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.4
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA-28.7
Profit Mgn-58.1%
ROE-36.2%
Rev Growth11.5%
Beta1.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C18.47bearish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$19+112.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Unprofitable operations — net margin -58.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
4.5
Gross Margin
4.6
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.5
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 5%, FCF yield 4.9%)No competitive moat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.40Resistance $10.17

Price Targets

$8
$11
A.Upside+25.4%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LSPD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.94: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 18.47; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.31. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LSPD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.21 (+25.4% upside). Prior stop was $8.31. Stop-loss: $8.31.

What are the risks of investing in LSPD?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is LSPD overvalued or undervalued?

Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Subord trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LSPD?

20 analysts cover LSPD with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Subord do?Lightspeed Commerce Inc. engages in sale of cloud-based software subscriptions and payments solutions for single and...

Lightspeed Commerce Inc. engages in sale of cloud-based software subscriptions and payments solutions for single and multi-location retailers, restaurants, golf course operators, and other businesses. It offers a cloud-based commerce platform that connects suppliers, merchants, and consumers to enable omnichannel experiences and engage with consumers, manage operations, accept payments, and grow business. The company's cloud platform is designed around interrelated elements, such as omni-channel consumer experience, a comprehensive back-office operations management suite to improve customers' efficiency and insight, and the facilitation of payments. Its platform functionalities include full omni-channel capabilities, point of sale (POS), product and menu management, kitchen display system (KDS), employee and inventory management comprising ordering, analytics and reporting, multi-location connectivity, order anywhere and curbside pickup functionality, loyalty, and customer management solutions. The company also offers tailored financial solutions, such as Lightspeed Payments and Lightspeed Capital; Lightspeed Restaurant, a unified hospitality commerce offering; Lightspeed Retail, a retail commerce offering; Lightspeed eCommerce; Lightspeed NuORDER integration to order from various brands; and Tee Sheet Lightspeed Golf for golf course operators to manage tee-time schedules, golf retail POS, and food and beverage POS. In addition, it sells hardware, including tablets, customer facing displays, KDS screens, receipt printers, networking hardware, cash drawers, payment terminals, servers, stands, bar-code scanners, and an assortment of accessories, as well as provides installation and implementation services. The company was formerly known as Lightspeed POS Inc. and changed its name to Lightspeed Commerce Inc. in August 2021. Lightspeed Commerce Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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