Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. At $529.40, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Product: F-35 program (27.0%).
Lockheed Martin is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments—Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space—serving U.S. and international government customers. In fiscal 2025, 72% of consolidated sales came from the U.S. Government... Read more
Sell if holding. At $529.40, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Product: F-35 program (27.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Lockheed Martin Corporation
Latest news
- Lockheed Martin Corp Stock (LMT) Moved Down by 3.17% on Apr 22: Drivers Behind the Movement - TradingKey — TradingKey negative
- Forget Lockheed Martin. This Defense Stock Will Double by 2028. - 24/7 Wall St. — 24/7 Wall St. negative
- Down 6.3% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why Lockheed (LMT) Looks Ripe for a Turnaround - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- Bernstein raises Lockheed Martin stock price target on missile growth - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- Earnings To Watch: Lockheed Martin (LMT) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. Government72%10-K Item 1A: 'We derived 72% of our total consolidated sales from the U.S. Government in 2025, including 63% from the Department of War (DoW)'
- HIGHProductF-35 program27%10-K Item 1: 'The F-35 program is our largest program, generating 27% of our total consolidated sales, as well as 67% of Aeronautics' sales in 2025.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $529.40, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Product: F-35 program (27.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $505.87. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $567.04 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $505.87. Stop-loss: $505.87.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Product: F-35 program (27.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.3%.
Lockheed Martin Corporation trades at a P/E of 25.6 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover LMT with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $630.
What does Lockheed Martin Corporation do?Lockheed Martin is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments—Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control,...
Lockheed Martin is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments—Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space—serving U.S. and international government customers. In fiscal 2025, 72% of consolidated sales came from the U.S. Government (63% from the Department of War); the F-35 program alone represented 27% of total sales.