Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $510.31 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War (DoW) (63.0%).
Lockheed Martin is a global aerospace and defense technology company with four segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. Principal customers are U.S. Government agencies and allies; 72% of 2025 total consolidated sales came from the... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $510.31 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War (DoW) (63.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. Government72%10-K Item 1A: 'We derived 72% of our total consolidated sales from the U.S. Government in 2025'
- HIGHCustomerDepartment of War (DoW)63%10-K Item 1A: 'including 63% from the Department of War (DoW), also known as the Department of Defense under 10 U.S.C. § 111(a)'
- MEDIUMProductF-35 program27%10-K Item 1A: 'The F-35 program...is our largest program and represented 27% of our total consolidated sales in 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $510.31 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War (DoW) (63.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $486.88. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $577.22 (+13.0% upside). Prior stop was $486.88. Stop-loss: $486.88.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War (DoW) (63.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5.
Lockheed Martin Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.7 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover LMT with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $641.
What does Lockheed Martin Corporation do?Lockheed Martin is a global aerospace and defense technology company with four segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire...
Lockheed Martin is a global aerospace and defense technology company with four segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. Principal customers are U.S. Government agencies and allies; 72% of 2025 total consolidated sales came from the U.S. Government, including 63% from the Department of Defense.