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LIONLionsgate Studios CorpSell4.5·$14.32+2.87%
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Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Unknown · Unknown

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.32: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.37; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a premiere talent... Read more

$14.32+2.7% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10Peer score 5.0/10 · 7 Unknown
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield
Stop $13.32Target $14.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$15.00+4.7%9 analysts
$14.71our TP
$14.32price
$15.00mean
$9
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.32: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.37; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-8.9% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)35.8
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C2.37bearish
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$20+39.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (e)Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
2.5
Max Pain Risk
7.0
Elevated put/call: 2.37High IV: 80%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
5.0
Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
3.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward P/E: 35.8x
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.23Resistance $15.01

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LION stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.32: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.37; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $13.32. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LION stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.71 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $13.32. Stop-loss: $13.32.

What are the risks of investing in LION?

Target reached (-8.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is LION overvalued or undervalued?

Lionsgate Studios Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 35.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LION?

16 analysts cover LION with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Lionsgate Studios Corp do?Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play content companies. It brings together...

Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a premiere talent management and production powerhouse at 3 Arts Entertainment and a more than 20,000-title film and television library, all driven by Lionsgate's bold and entrepreneurial culture.

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