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Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Unknown · Unknown

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-21). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.60: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.68; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a talent... Read more

$12.60+1.2% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10Peer score 5.0/10 · 7 Unknown
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield
Stop $11.72Target $12.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$12.90+2.4%9 analysts
$12.75our TP
$12.60price
$12.90mean
$8
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.60: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.68; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Lionsgate Studios Corp

Generated 2026-05-20T21:13:15Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-10.9% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)55.5
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C2.68bearish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$3-76.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (e)Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.4
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Volatility
3.1
Elevated put/call: 2.68High IV: 77%Above max pain $3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 1 days

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
2.1
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward P/E: 55.5xExpensive valuation

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
5.0
Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.93Resistance $13.01

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LION stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.60: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.68; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $11.72. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the LION stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.75 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $11.72. Stop-loss: $11.72.

What are the risks of investing in LION?

Target reached (-10.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is LION overvalued or undervalued?

Lionsgate Studios Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 55.5). TrendMatrix value score: 2.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LION?

16 analysts cover LION with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Lionsgate Studios Corp do?Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It...

Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a talent management and production powerhouse and a more than 20,000-title film and television library, all driven by Lionsgate's bold and entrepreneurial culture.

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