Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the LION stock price target?

Take-profit $12.75 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.68.

Q: What are the risks of investing in LION?

Target reached (-10.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0); Target reached (-10.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Q: Is LION overvalued or undervalued?

Lionsgate Studios Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 56.4). TrendMatrix value score: 2.5/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about LION?

16 analysts cover LION with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

Q: What does Lionsgate Studios Corp do?

Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a talent management and production powerhouse and a more than 20,000-title film and television library, all driven by Lionsgate's bold and entrepreneurial culture.

Range Bound setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2 days ago (May 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ET)

Unknown · Unknown

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-21). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.56: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.22; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

$12.56+1.5% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10Peer score 5.0/10 · 7 Unknown

QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield—

Stop $11.68Target $12.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1

Analyst target$12.90+2.7%9 analysts

$12.75our TP

$12.56price

$12.90mean

$16

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Lionsgate Studios Corp

Latest news

Baird Maintains Outperform on Lionsgate Studios, Raises Price Target to $16 — benzinga May 5, 2026 positive
Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight on Lionsgate Studios, Raises Price Target to $14 — benzinga May 1, 2026 positive
Lionsgate Shares Rise After 'Michael' Film Breaks Box Office Records — benzinga Apr 27, 2026 positive
Seagate To Rally More Than 19%? Here Are 10 Top Analyst Forecasts For Monday — benzinga Apr 27, 2026 positive
Lionsgate Studio Surges Over 9% In Monday Pre-Market: What's Going On? — benzinga Apr 27, 2026 positive

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-10.6% upside)

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)56.4

Mkt Cap$3.7B

EV/EBITDA—

Profit Mgn—

ROE—

Rev Growth—

Beta—

DividendNone

Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C2.22bearish

IV75%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-04-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (e)Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value2.515%0.38

Quality2.515%0.38

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum5.610%0.56

Sentiment5.610%0.56

Insider Activity5.110%0.51

Peer Rank5.010%0.50

Technical Setup4.95%0.25

Risk Profile1.45%0.07

Catalyst2.15%0.11

Overall (Σ contributions)4.05

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call

0.0

Implied Vol

0.8

Volatility

3.3

Elevated put/call: 2.22High IV: 75%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

0.0

Surprise Avg

0.0

Erm

3.5

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 3 days

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe

2.0

Analyst Target

3.0

Forward P/E: 56.4xExpensive valuation

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F

0.0

Moat

5.0

Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

58 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.93Resistance $13.01

Price Targets

$12

$13

A.Upside+1.5%

A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.6% upside)

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

0/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-21 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is LION stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.56: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.22; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $11.68. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LION stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.75 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.68. Stop-loss: $11.68.

What are the risks of investing in LION?

Target reached (-10.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is LION overvalued or undervalued?

Lionsgate Studios Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 56.4). TrendMatrix value score: 2.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LION?

16 analysts cover LION with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Lionsgate Studios Corp do?Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It...

Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a talent management and production powerhouse and a more than 20,000-title film and television library, all driven by Lionsgate's bold and entrepreneurial culture.