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Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Unknown · Unknown

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.42: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a talent... Read more

$12.42-0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10Peer score 5.0/10 · 7 Unknown
Stop $11.54Target $12.33(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$12.34-0.6%9 analysts
$12.33our TP
$12.42price
$12.34mean
$8
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.42: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(5) detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-13.5% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)54.5
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$4-67.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (e)Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-01-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    001-42635 | | N/A (Commission File Number) | | (IRS Employer Identification No.) (Address of principal executive offices) 250 Howe Street, 20th Floor Vancouver, British Columbia V6C 3R8 and 2700 Colorado Avenue Santa Monica, California 90404 Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (87...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
2.1
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward P/E: 54.5xExpensive valuation

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.39Resistance $12.58

Price Targets

$12
$12
A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LION stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.42: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $11.54. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LION stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.33 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $11.54. Stop-loss: $11.54.

What are the risks of investing in LION?

Target reached (-13.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7).

Is LION overvalued or undervalued?

Lionsgate Studios Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 54.5). TrendMatrix value score: 2.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LION?

16 analysts cover LION with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Lionsgate Studios Corp do?Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It...

Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a talent management and production powerhouse and a more than 20,000-title film and television library, all driven by Lionsgate's bold and entrepreneurial culture.

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