NIQ Global Intelligence is a consumer intelligence data provider with 49% upside to analyst consensus targets and a forward P/E of only 7.1x, but quality metrics are extremely weak with a Piotroski F-Score of 0 and two consecutive earnings misses raising concerns about near-term execution reliability.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Analyst Upside Discount→Stable
- Zero Piotroski Quality Alarm→Stable
- Earnings Miss Pattern↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days
NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Unknown · Unknown
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.27: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
NIQ Global Intelligence provides consumer shopping behavior data and analytics to approximately 23,000 brand, retailer, and government clients across 90 countries, covering more than $7.4 trillion in global consumer spend. Revenue is roughly 80% recurring, split between... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.27: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
About NIQ Global Intelligence plc
About NIQ Global Intelligence plc
NIQ Global Intelligence delivered more than 115 million data pulls covering nearly 127 trillion data points to clients in 2025, with a catalog of over 246 million unique product items spanning 90 countries. Intelligence offerings — primarily omnichannel measurement, consumer behavior insights, and retailer solutions — generated approximately 81% of fiscal 2025 revenue, while Activation analytics contributed the remaining 19%. The company serves approximately 23,000 clients including roughly half of the Fortune 500, across more than $7.4 trillion in global consumer spend.
NIQ monetizes its data through long-term subscription contracts for Intelligence offerings, typically two to five years in duration with annual price escalators tied to consumer price indicators, and on-demand Activation analytics sold project-by-project. Approximately 80% of total 2025 revenue was recurring in nature. Client retention supports this model: net dollar retention was at or above 100% for twelve consecutive trailing quarters ending December 31, 2025, and the company's top five longest-tenured clients averaged more than 70 years of tenure with NIQ and its predecessor. Cash Data Costs declined from 22% of revenue in 2021 to 15% in 2025 following technology platform investment and data-source expansion. NIQ competes primarily against Circana and Kantar in the consumer intelligence market.
Show full overview
NIQ's ten largest clients collectively accounted for 15.3% of total revenues in fiscal 2025, with no single client exceeding 5% of revenue — a degree of diversification that has supported stable retention metrics. A distinct risk is data-access dependency: NIQ sources information from thousands of third-party retailers, panelists, and eCommerce partners, some of which are not in direct contractual privity with the company. In October 2024, NIQ moved for an injunction against Nielsen Media's use of certain NIQ data; the parties reached a non-monetary settlement, illustrating that data-sharing arrangements with competitors may require ongoing renegotiation.
From NIQ Global Intelligence plc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — NIQ Global Intelligence plc
Latest news
- NEWS NIQ Publishes 2026 ESG Progress Report — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS NIQ Report Finds Growing Consumer Interest in Personal Appearance — fiscal.ai Oct 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS NIQ and Google Partner to Advance Agentic Commerce — fiscal.ai Oct 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS NielsenIQ Integrates Google’s AI Commerce Ecosystem To Improve Product Discovery And Local Availability — benzinga Oct 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS NielsenIQ Announces New Optimization Capabilities For Shopper Experience Platform, Supported By Its CONTENT Framework — benzinga Oct 28, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:11Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomertop-10 clients15%10-K Item 1A: 'Our ten largest clients collectively accounted for approximately 15.3% of our total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.27: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $18.99. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $18.00 reached (−11.2% from $20.27); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $18.99. Stop-loss: $18.99.
Target reached (-11.2% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).
NIQ Global Intelligence plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts rate NIQ, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $21.
What does NIQ Global Intelligence plc do?NIQ Global Intelligence provides consumer shopping behavior data and analytics to approximately 23,000 brand, retailer,...
NIQ Global Intelligence provides consumer shopping behavior data and analytics to approximately 23,000 brand, retailer, and government clients across 90 countries, covering more than $7.4 trillion in global consumer spend. Revenue is roughly 80% recurring, split between Intelligence subscriptions (approximately 81% of 2025 revenue, typically 2-5 year contracts) and Activation analytics (approximately 19%), with the largest single client below 5% of total revenue.