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NIQNIQ Global Intelligence plcSell5.2·$8.39+1.45%
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NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Unknown · Unknown

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.39: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

NIQ Global Intelligence is a leading consumer intelligence company providing omnichannel measurement, analytics and software to approximately 23,000 brands, retailers and other clients across 90 countries. Revenue is ~80% recurring, driven by multi-year subscription contracts... Read more

$8.39+51.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10Peer score 5.0/10 · 7 Unknown
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield
Stop $7.81Target $12.72(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.1:1
Analyst target$14.62+74.2%13 analysts
$12.72our TP
$8.39price
$14.62mean
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.39: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About NIQ Global Intelligence plc

About NIQ Global Intelligence plc

NIQ Global Intelligence delivered more than 115 million data pulls covering nearly 127 trillion data points to clients in 2025, with a catalog of over 246 million unique product items spanning 90 countries. Intelligence offerings — primarily omnichannel measurement, consumer behavior insights, and retailer solutions — generated approximately 81% of fiscal 2025 revenue, while Activation analytics contributed the remaining 19%. The company serves approximately 23,000 clients including roughly half of the Fortune 500, across more than $7.4 trillion in global consumer spend.

NIQ monetizes its data through long-term subscription contracts for Intelligence offerings, typically two to five years in duration with annual price escalators tied to consumer price indicators, and on-demand Activation analytics sold project-by-project. Approximately 80% of total 2025 revenue was recurring in nature. Client retention supports this model: net dollar retention was at or above 100% for twelve consecutive trailing quarters ending December 31, 2025, and the company's top five longest-tenured clients averaged more than 70 years of tenure with NIQ and its predecessor. Cash Data Costs declined from 22% of revenue in 2021 to 15% in 2025 following technology platform investment and data-source expansion. NIQ competes primarily against Circana and Kantar in the consumer intelligence market.

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NIQ's ten largest clients collectively accounted for 15.3% of total revenues in fiscal 2025, with no single client exceeding 5% of revenue — a degree of diversification that has supported stable retention metrics. A distinct risk is data-access dependency: NIQ sources information from thousands of third-party retailers, panelists, and eCommerce partners, some of which are not in direct contractual privity with the company. In October 2024, NIQ moved for an injunction against Nielsen Media's use of certain NIQ data; the parties reached a non-monetary settlement, illustrating that data-sharing arrangements with competitors may require ongoing renegotiation.

See also: Unknown · Unknown

From NIQ Global Intelligence plc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — NIQ Global Intelligence plc

Generated 2026-06-17T09:12:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV144%elevated
Max Pain$3-70.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 5.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Put Call
6.7
High IV: 144%Above max pain $2

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
5.0
Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 5.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.93Resistance $9.50

Price Targets

$8
$13
A.Upside+51.6%
A.R:R5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NIQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.39: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Prior stop was $7.81. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NIQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.72 (+51.4% upside). Prior stop was $7.81. Stop-loss: $7.81.

What are the risks of investing in NIQ?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is NIQ overvalued or undervalued?

NIQ Global Intelligence plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NIQ?

17 analysts cover NIQ with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $15.

What does NIQ Global Intelligence plc do?NIQ Global Intelligence is a leading consumer intelligence company providing omnichannel measurement, analytics and...

NIQ Global Intelligence is a leading consumer intelligence company providing omnichannel measurement, analytics and software to approximately 23,000 brands, retailers and other clients across 90 countries. Revenue is ~80% recurring, driven by multi-year subscription contracts for Intelligence offerings (81% of revenue) and Activation analytics (19%). Its top 10 clients collectively accounted for approximately 15.3% of total revenues in 2025.

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