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NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Unknown · Unknown

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.04: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

NIQ Global Intelligence is a consumer measurement company covering 90 countries, providing omnichannel shopping data, analytics, and software to brands and retailers globally. Revenue comes primarily from multi-year subscription contracts, with Intelligence products accounting... Read more

$11.04+52.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10Peer score 5.0/10 · 7 Unknown
Stop $10.23Target $16.73(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.3:1
Analyst target$19.23+74.2%13 analysts
$16.73our TP
$11.04price
$19.23mean
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.04: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

IV174%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop-10 clients15%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our ten largest clients collectively accounted for approximately 15.3% of our total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    COO Tracey Massey resigned effective January 30, 2026 for personal reasons; not the result of any disagreement with the Company. No successor named at time of filing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
0.2
High IV: 174%
Low model confidence on this dimension (40%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2MEarnings in 14 days
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 5.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $10.27Resistance $12.21

Price Targets

$10
$17
A.Upside+51.5%
A.R:R5.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NIQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.04: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.23. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NIQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.73 (+52.2% upside). Prior stop was $10.23. Stop-loss: $10.23.

What are the risks of investing in NIQ?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is NIQ overvalued or undervalued?

NIQ Global Intelligence plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NIQ?

18 analysts cover NIQ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.

What does NIQ Global Intelligence plc do?NIQ Global Intelligence is a consumer measurement company covering 90 countries, providing omnichannel shopping data,...

NIQ Global Intelligence is a consumer measurement company covering 90 countries, providing omnichannel shopping data, analytics, and software to brands and retailers globally. Revenue comes primarily from multi-year subscription contracts, with Intelligence products accounting for approximately 81% of 2025 revenues. Solutions are embedded across clients enterprise systems.

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