Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Texas Capital Bancshares is a Dallas-headquartered full-service financial services firm operating through Texas Capital Bank (Texas state-chartered) and Texas Capital Securities (broker-dealer). It serves businesses, entrepreneurs, and individuals with offices in Austin, Dallas,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicTexas10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's business is concentrated in Texas and exposure to the Texas economy, including the energy industry, could adversely affect its performance.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOWJohn Cummings, Managing Director and Chief Administrative Officer, named Chief Operating Officer effective April 16, 2026. Internal promotion; no reason cited for prior COO vacancy.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $104.68 (+3.9%), stop $94.33 (−6.8%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $104.68 (+4.0% upside). Target $104.68 (+3.9%), stop $94.33 (−6.8%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $94.33.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.3 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.
20 analysts cover TCBI with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $107.
What does Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. do?Texas Capital Bancshares is a Dallas-headquartered full-service financial services firm operating through Texas Capital...
Texas Capital Bancshares is a Dallas-headquartered full-service financial services firm operating through Texas Capital Bank (Texas state-chartered) and Texas Capital Securities (broker-dealer). It serves businesses, entrepreneurs, and individuals with offices in Austin, Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston, and San Antonio, plus national lines including Bask Bank, mortgage finance, and investment banking.