"Sprott Physical Gold Trust" (PHYS) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the PHYS stock price target?

Take-profit $35.64 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $33.25.

Q: Is PHYS overvalued or undervalued?

"Sprott Physical Gold Trust" trades at a P/E of 2.9 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2 days ago (May 19, 2026, 6:16 AM ET)

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sprott Physical Gold Trust is an exchange traded commodity launched and managed by Sprott Asset Management LP. The fund invests in the commodity markets. It primarily invests in physical gold bullion in London Good Delivery bar form. Sprott Physical Gold Trust was formed on... Read more

$34.49+3.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#78 of 112 Asset Management

QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield—

Stop $33.25Target $35.64(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.49: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — "Sprott Physical Gold Trust"

Latest news

The Biggest Investors On Earth Are Rewriting The Rules — And Retail Investors Are Behind — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 neutral

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.3), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.13% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.9

P/E (Fwd)—

Mkt Cap$16.4B

EV/EBITDA—

Profit Mgn0.0%

ROE—

Rev Growth—

Beta—

DividendNone

Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

IV153%elevated

Max Pain$39+13.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value10.015%1.50

Quality0.915%0.14

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum3.010%0.30

Sentiment5.010%0.50

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank6.210%0.62

Technical Setup7.55%0.38

Risk Profile6.25%0.31

Catalyst5.05%0.25

Overall (Σ contributions)5.24

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Piotroski F

0.0

Moat

4.5

No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.9

Obv

1.0

Macd

3.4

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

5.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

47 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.05Resistance $36.37

Price Targets

$33

$36

A.Upside+3.3%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.3), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.13% of cap)

! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for PHYS.

The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PHYS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.49: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $33.25. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.64 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $33.25. Stop-loss: $33.25.

What are the risks of investing in PHYS?

Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.3), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.13% of cap).

Is PHYS overvalued or undervalued?

"Sprott Physical Gold Trust" trades at a P/E of 2.9 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What does "Sprott Physical Gold Trust" do?Sprott Physical Gold Trust is an exchange traded commodity launched and managed by Sprott Asset Management LP. The fund...