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LIFLife360, Inc.Sell5.2·$43.88+1.64%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Life360 combines 38% revenue growth, a wide economic moat, and three consecutive earnings beats — but the current price offers only 8.2% upside to the consensus target with a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.2-to-1 that falls short of the 1.5-to-1 minimum, making the risk/reward too thin to justify new positions despite the quality of the underlying business.

Thesis pillars

  • High Revenue Growth Rule Of 40Deteriorating
  • Wide Moat And Superior MarginsStable
  • Thin Risk Reward At Current PriceImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Life360, Inc. (LIF) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.88 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Jabil; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Life360 operates a family safety platform with 95.8 million Monthly Active Users and 2.8 million Paying Circles globally at end of 2025, offering location sharing, driving safety, digital safety, and emergency assistance. The company generated $489.5 million in 2025 revenue... Read more

$43.88+21.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#104 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.12%
Stop $40.81Target $53.49(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$61.48+40.1%9 analysts
$53.49our TP
$43.88price
$61.48mean
$72

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.88 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Jabil; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Wide economic moat
Analyst upside: 22%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Jabil
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.4
P/E (Fwd)24.2
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA134.6
Profit Mgn25.7%
ROE30.1%
Rev Growth37.8%
Beta1.09
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.36bearish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$30-31.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierJabil
    10-K Item 1: 'Jabil has been designated the sole contract manufacturer of our hardware products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
30 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $41.25Resistance $65.57

Price Targets

$41
$53
A.Upside+21.9%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LIF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.88 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Jabil; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $40.81. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LIF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.49 (+21.9% upside). Prior stop was $40.81. Stop-loss: $40.81.

What are the risks of investing in LIF?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Jabil; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is LIF overvalued or undervalued?

Life360, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.4 (forward 24.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LIF?

14 analysts cover LIF with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Life360, Inc. do?Life360 operates a family safety platform with 95.8 million Monthly Active Users and 2.8 million Paying Circles...

Life360 operates a family safety platform with 95.8 million Monthly Active Users and 2.8 million Paying Circles globally at end of 2025, offering location sharing, driving safety, digital safety, and emergency assistance. The company generated $489.5 million in 2025 revenue through freemium subscriptions, Tile and Pet GPS hardware sales, and data and advertising partnerships.

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