Skip to main content

Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing completions services and related technologies to onshore oil and gas E&P companies across North American shale basins, operating approximately 40 active fleets as of Dec 31, 2025. It also owns Liberty Power Innovations (distributed... Read more

$33.00+2.2% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#26 of 31 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-3.54%
IncomeYield1.06%Payout37.36%sustainable
Stop $30.76Target $33.79(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$33.08+0.2%13 analysts
$33.79our TP
$33.00price
$33.08mean
$21
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Liberty Energy Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 94x vs trail 36x (2.6x)
Target reached (-13.0% upside)
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.3
P/E (Fwd)93.6
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta0.57
Dividend1.06%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.79neutral
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Roa
0.9
Net Margin
1.9
Roe
2.6
Moat
3.8
Current Ratio
7.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -127% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.0
Peg Ratio
2.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Pe
3.5
Ev Ebitda
5.2
Ps
9.4
Forward P/E: 93.6xPEG: 5.85

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.9
Growth Rank
4.7
Value Rank
6.1
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.77Resistance $34.48

Price Targets

$31
$34
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 94x vs trail 36x (2.6x)
! Target reached (-13.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LBRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $30.76. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LBRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.79 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $30.76. Stop-loss: $30.76.

What are the risks of investing in LBRT?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 94x vs trail 36x (2.6x); Target reached (-13.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).

Is LBRT overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.3 (forward 93.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LBRT?

18 analysts cover LBRT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Liberty Energy Inc. do?Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing completions services and related technologies to onshore oil and gas E&P...

Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing completions services and related technologies to onshore oil and gas E&P companies across North American shale basins, operating approximately 40 active fleets as of Dec 31, 2025. It also owns Liberty Power Innovations (distributed power and energy storage) and two Permian Basin sand mines.

Related stocks: USAC (USA Compression Partners, LP) · NESR (National Energy Services Reunit) · FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc.) · WBI (WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC) · WHD (Cactus, Inc. Class A Common Sto)