Skip to main content

Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.62: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing and completions services for onshore oil and gas E&P companies across major North American shale basins including the Permian, Williston, Haynesville, and Eagle Ford. Revenue comes from frac fleets, wireline, proppant delivery, CNG,... Read more

$33.62-0.1% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#25 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Stop $31.40Target $33.72(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$32.77-2.5%13 analysts
$33.72our TP
$33.62price
$32.77mean
$21
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.62: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(3) detected in news
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 96x vs trail 37x (2.6x)
Target reached (-15.6% upside)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.2
P/E (Fwd)95.7
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta0.49
Dividend1.03%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerfew large customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Reliance upon a few large customers may adversely affect our revenue and operating results.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of assemblers and suppliers for major equipment
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently utilize a limited number of assemblers and suppliers for major equipment to both build new fleets and upgrade any fleets we acquire to our preferred specifications'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Roa
0.9
Net Margin
1.9
Roe
2.6
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
7.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -127% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.0
Peg Ratio
1.9
Analyst Target
3.0
Pe
3.4
Ev Ebitda
5.1
Ps
9.4
Forward P/E: 95.7xPEG: 5.98

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
5.2
Value Rank
5.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.84Resistance $34.41

Price Targets

$31
$34
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 96x vs trail 37x (2.6x)
! Target reached (-15.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LBRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.62: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $31.40. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LBRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.72 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $31.40. Stop-loss: $31.40.

What are the risks of investing in LBRT?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 96x vs trail 37x (2.6x); Target reached (-15.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is LBRT overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.2 (forward 95.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LBRT?

18 analysts cover LBRT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Liberty Energy Inc. do?Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing and completions services for onshore oil and gas E&P companies across...

Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing and completions services for onshore oil and gas E&P companies across major North American shale basins including the Permian, Williston, Haynesville, and Eagle Ford. Revenue comes from frac fleets, wireline, proppant delivery, CNG, and data analytics. In 2025, it acquired IMG Energy Solutions to expand into distributed power generation.

Related stocks: FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc.) · AROC (Archrock, Inc.) · SEI (Solaris Energy Infrastructure, ) · NPKI (NPK International Inc.) · LB (LandBridge Company LLC)