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LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.Sell4.7·$27.91-3.33%
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Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.91: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality.

Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing completions services and related technologies to onshore oil and gas E&P companies across North American shale basins, operating approximately 40 active fleets as of Dec 31, 2025. It also owns Liberty Power Innovations (distributed... Read more

$27.91+5.8% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#25 of 30 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-4.05%
IncomeYield1.21%Payout37.36%sustainable
Stop $26.50Target $29.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$33.92+21.5%13 analysts
$29.51our TP
$27.91price
$33.92mean
$21
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.91: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Liberty Energy Inc.

About Liberty Energy Inc.

Liberty Energy deployed approximately 40 active hydraulic fracturing fleets across North American shale plays — including the Permian Basin, Williston Basin, Eagle Ford, Haynesville and Appalachian Basin — as of December 31, 2025, staffed by 5,800 employees. The company's single North American reportable segment encompasses completions services; WTI averaged $65.45 per barrel in 2025, down from $76.63 in 2024, compressing E&P capital budgets and, in turn, demand for completion services.

Liberty Energy earns revenue through per-job completions contracts — principally hydraulic fracturing, wireline and proppant delivery — with E&P customers who adjust capital programs as commodity prices shift. Two Permian Basin sand mines provide vertically integrated proppant supply, reducing dependency on third-party logistics. The fleet mix has shifted toward electric and hybrid technology: digiFrac and digiPrime pumps carry approximately a 25% lower CO2e emission profile than Tier IV DGB units. In January 2025, Liberty Energy completed the IMG Acquisition for approximately $19.6 million, adding engineering and software capabilities for Liberty Power Innovations' distributed power platform; in January 2026, the company signed an agreement with Vantage Data Centers for at least 1 GW of power solutions with a firm 400 MW reservation to be delivered in 2027. The 10-K also notes that reliance upon a few large customers may adversely affect revenue if those customers reduce capital spending.

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Federal and state regulatory actions on hydraulic fracturing present the most durable external risk to Liberty Energy's core service line. In November 2025, the EPA issued a rule delaying methane compliance deadlines previously adopted in 2024, providing near-term relief; if those standards take effect, the 10-K notes they could make drilling and operating oil and gas wells more costly, reducing demand for completion services. States including New Mexico and Colorado have banned PFAS in hydraulic fracturing fluids, and Colorado's SB 19-181 enlarged local-government authority over well permitting — adding regulatory layers that may limit completion volumes in basins where Liberty Energy operates.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From Liberty Energy Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Liberty Energy Inc.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:21:49Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 79x vs trail 32x (2.5x)
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -53.7%), High leverage (D/E 3.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.7
P/E (Fwd)79.0
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta0.53
Dividend1.21%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV87%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Roa
0.9
Net Margin
1.9
Roe
2.6
Moat
3.8
Current Ratio
7.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -127% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
4.0
Growth Rank
4.8
Value Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.32Resistance $34.15

Price Targets

$27
$30
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 79x vs trail 32x (2.5x)
! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -53.7%), High leverage (D/E 3.2)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LBRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.91: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $26.50. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LBRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.51 (+5.8% upside). Prior stop was $26.50. Stop-loss: $26.50.

What are the risks of investing in LBRT?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 79x vs trail 32x (2.5x); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -53.7%), High leverage (D/E 3.2).

Is LBRT overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.7 (forward 79.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LBRT?

18 analysts cover LBRT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Liberty Energy Inc. do?Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing completions services and related technologies to onshore oil and gas E&P...

Liberty Energy provides hydraulic fracturing completions services and related technologies to onshore oil and gas E&P companies across North American shale basins, operating approximately 40 active fleets as of Dec 31, 2025. It also owns Liberty Power Innovations (distributed power and energy storage) and two Permian Basin sand mines.

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