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LAZLazard, Inc.Sell5.8·$46.60+1.89%
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Lazard, Inc. (LAZ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5.

Lazard is a global financial advisory and asset management firm operating two segments: Financial Advisory (M&A, restructuring, sovereign and geopolitical advisory) and Asset Management (equity, fixed income, alternatives). As of Dec 31, 2025 it had 3,309 employees and managed... Read more

$46.60+6.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#18 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.37%(5y avg 4.83%)Payout79.37%
Stop $43.45Target $49.57(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$52.63+12.9%8 analysts
$49.57our TP
$46.60price
$52.63mean
$44
$62

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.2
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE34.3%
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta1.41
Dividend4.37%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.21bearish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$75+60.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten AM clients24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten clients accounted for 24% of our total assets under management ("AUM") as of December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $44.60Resistance $50.58

Price Targets

$43
$50
A.Upside+6.4%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! momentum at 1.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $43.45. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.57 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $43.45. Stop-loss: $43.45.

What are the risks of investing in LAZ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is LAZ overvalued or undervalued?

Lazard, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.2 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LAZ?

15 analysts cover LAZ with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Lazard, Inc. do?Lazard is a global financial advisory and asset management firm operating two segments: Financial Advisory (M&A,...

Lazard is a global financial advisory and asset management firm operating two segments: Financial Advisory (M&A, restructuring, sovereign and geopolitical advisory) and Asset Management (equity, fixed income, alternatives). As of Dec 31, 2025 it had 3,309 employees and managed AUM with ~67% in foreign-currency-denominated assets.

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