Skip to main content
LAZLazard, Inc.Buy Wait6.4·$43.16-0.71%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lazard combines a wide economic moat, a return on equity of 34%, and a compelling valuation at 10x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.16, but the stock is in a confirmed technical downtrend—death cross, below all moving averages—and the dividend yield has been flagged as potentially unsafe, making the near-term risk/reward unfavorable despite the underlying quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Forward Pe 10xDeteriorating
  • Wide Moat Strong Quality BaseStable
  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lazard, Inc. (LAZ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-23). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $40.07. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $43.16. Engine's entry $40.07 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5.

Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and active investment management through its Asset Management segment, with operations across more than 30 countries. The firm employed 3,309 full-time staff at... Read more

$43.16-2.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#21 of 49 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.63%(5y avg 4.83%)Payout79.37%
Entry $40.07(support + ATR)Stop $37.87Target $44.44(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$48.50+12.4%8 analysts
$44.44our TP
$43.16price
$48.50mean
$38
$60

Wait for pullback to $40.07. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $43.16. Engine's entry $40.07 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-20
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.1
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE34.3%
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta1.42
Dividend4.63%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop ten Financial Advisory clients17%
    10-K Item 1: 'the ten largest fee paying clients constituted approximately 17% of our Financial Advisory segment net revenue'
  • LOWCustomertop ten Asset Management clients24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten clients accounted for 24% of our total assets under management'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.04Resistance $45.35

Price Targets

$38
$40
$44
A.Upside-2.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAZ stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $40.07. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $43.16. Engine's entry $40.07 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $44.44 (+3.0%), stop $37.87 (−14.0%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.44 (-2.2% upside). Target $44.44 (+3.0%), stop $37.87 (−14.0%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $37.87.

What are the risks of investing in LAZ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5.

Is LAZ overvalued or undervalued?

Lazard, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LAZ?

15 analysts cover LAZ with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Lazard, Inc. do?Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and...

Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and active investment management through its Asset Management segment, with operations across more than 30 countries. The firm employed 3,309 full-time staff at December 31, 2025; Financial Advisory fees are earned upon transaction completion while Asset Management fees are based on AUM market value.

Related stocks: EVR (Evercore Inc.) · VIRT (Virtu Financial, Inc.) · FUTU (Futu Holdings Limited) · LCLN (Lincoln International, Inc.) · TIGR (UP Fintech Holding Limited)
Home Stocks LAZ

Latest news

Latest News

HarianBasis.co89d ago
Insider Monkey89d ago
MarketBeat89d ago
Yahoo Finance5d ago
Yahoo Finance5d ago
GuruFocus5d ago
Yahoo Finance5d ago
Dars.gov.et6d ago
Morningstar80d ago
MarketBeat81d ago
Yahoo Finance81d ago
TradingView81d agoEarnings
GuruFocus83d ago
TradingView6d ago
TradingView7d agoAnalyst
MSN87d agoEarnings
Reuters87d ago
Benzinga7d ago
Benzinga10d agoAnalyst
Benzinga11d agoAnalyst
Loading more...