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Lazard, Inc. (LAZ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $40.17. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $48.17. Engine's entry $40.17 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Single-region cliff: 67% exposure to AUM with foreign currency exposure (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: AUM with foreign currency exposure (67.0%).

Lazard is a global financial advisory and asset management firm operating two segments: Financial Advisory (M&A, restructuring, sovereign advisory) and Asset Management. No single Financial Advisory client exceeded 10% of segment net revenue in 2025; top 10 clients were ~17% of... Read more

$48.17+10.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#18 of 40 Capital Markets
Entry $40.17(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $35.71Target $50.28(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$52.38+8.7%8 analysts
$50.28our TP
$48.17price
$52.38mean
$45
$63

Wait for pullback to $40.17. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $48.17. Engine's entry $40.17 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Single-region cliff: 67% exposure to AUM with foreign currency exposure (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: AUM with foreign currency exposure (67.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Single-region cliff: 67% exposure to AUM with foreign currency exposure (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: AUM with foreign currency exposure (67.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE28.6%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta1.41
Dividend4.21%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$30-37.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAUM with foreign currency exposure67%
    10-K Item 1A: 'AUM with foreign currency exposure represented approximately 67% of our total AUM'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Mary Ann Betsch will transition to Senior Advisor as of February 1, 2026, and separate June 30, 2026. Tracy Farr (Managing Director, Capital Structure Advisory) appointed as CFO effective February 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.8
Value Rank
6.1
Quality Rank
6.2
Superior ROE vs peers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.5
Macd
7.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.38Resistance $51.31

Price Targets

$36
$40
$50
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R-0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.3% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAZ stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $40.17. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $48.17. Engine's entry $40.17 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Single-region cliff: 67% exposure to AUM with foreign currency exposure (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: AUM with foreign currency exposure (67.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $50.28 (+4.4%), stop $35.71 (−34.9%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.28 (+10.7% upside). Target $50.28 (+4.4%), stop $35.71 (−34.9%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $35.71.

What are the risks of investing in LAZ?

Single-region cliff: 67% exposure to AUM with foreign currency exposure (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: AUM with foreign currency exposure (67.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LAZ overvalued or undervalued?

Lazard, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LAZ?

15 analysts cover LAZ with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $52.

What does Lazard, Inc. do?Lazard is a global financial advisory and asset management firm operating two segments: Financial Advisory (M&A,...

Lazard is a global financial advisory and asset management firm operating two segments: Financial Advisory (M&A, restructuring, sovereign advisory) and Asset Management. No single Financial Advisory client exceeded 10% of segment net revenue in 2025; top 10 clients were ~17% of FA revenue.

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