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LAZLazard, Inc.Sell5.9·$44.20+2.03%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lazard combines a wide economic moat, a return on equity of 34%, and a compelling valuation at 10x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.16, but the stock is in a confirmed technical downtrend—death cross, below all moving averages—and the dividend yield has been flagged as potentially unsafe, making the near-term risk/reward unfavorable despite the underlying quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Forward Pe 10xStable
  • Wide Moat Strong Quality BaseStable
  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lazard, Inc. (LAZ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.

Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and active investment management through its Asset Management segment, with operations across more than 30 countries. The firm employed 3,309 full-time staff at... Read more

$44.20-7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#28 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.62%(5y avg 4.83%)Payout98.52%at-risk
Stop $41.11Target $50.83(default +15%)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$47.13+6.6%8 analysts
$50.83our TP
$44.20price
$47.13mean
$40
$60

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.4
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn7.1%
ROE25.7%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta1.42
Dividend4.62%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV50%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop ten Financial Advisory clients17%
    10-K Item 1: 'the ten largest fee paying clients constituted approximately 17% of our Financial Advisory segment net revenue'
  • LOWCustomertop ten Asset Management clients24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten clients accounted for 24% of our total assets under management'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
5.4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
2.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 4.6%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.6
Value Rank
5.5
Quality Rank
5.6
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.14Resistance $45.08

Price Targets

$41
$51
A.Upside-7.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Prior stop was $41.11. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.83 (-7.2% upside). Prior stop was $41.11. Stop-loss: $41.11.

What are the risks of investing in LAZ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is LAZ overvalued or undervalued?

Lazard, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.4 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LAZ?

15 analysts cover LAZ with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $47.

What does Lazard, Inc. do?Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and...

Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and active investment management through its Asset Management segment, with operations across more than 30 countries. The firm employed 3,309 full-time staff at December 31, 2025; Financial Advisory fees are earned upon transaction completion while Asset Management fees are based on AUM market value.

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