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Stifel Financial Corporation (SF) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Negative momentum.

Stifel Financial is a financial holding company offering wealth management, investment banking, and banking through Stifel Nicolaus, KBW, Stifel Bank, and other subsidiaries, with 2,200+ financial advisors in 402 branches across 48 states and international markets. Revenue is... Read more

$72.61+5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#17 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.78%(5y avg 1.62%)Payout24.55%sustainable
Stop $70.31Target $76.34(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$87.75+20.9%8 analysts
$76.34our TP
$72.61price
$87.75mean
$103

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Stifel Financial Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.1%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$11.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn15.6%
ROE15.3%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta1.06
Dividend1.78%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$55-24.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.0
Quality Rank
4.5
Value Rank
6.7
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.48Resistance $82.47

Price Targets

$70
$76
A.Upside+5.1%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $76.34 (+5.1%), stop $70.31 (−3.3%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.34 (+5.1% upside). Target $76.34 (+5.1%), stop $70.31 (−3.3%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $70.31.

What are the risks of investing in SF?

Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Negative momentum.

Is SF overvalued or undervalued?

Stifel Financial Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SF?

16 analysts cover SF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $88.

What does Stifel Financial Corporation do?Stifel Financial is a financial holding company offering wealth management, investment banking, and banking through...

Stifel Financial is a financial holding company offering wealth management, investment banking, and banking through Stifel Nicolaus, KBW, Stifel Bank, and other subsidiaries, with 2,200+ financial advisors in 402 branches across 48 states and international markets. Revenue is earned from commissions, asset management fees on $551.9B client assets, investment banking, and net interest income; no single client accounts for a material percentage of business.

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