Skip to main content

Stifel Financial Corporation (SF) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Stifel Financial is a US financial holding company providing wealth management (2,200+ advisors in 402 offices across 48 states), institutional equity and fixed income, investment banking, and commercial banking. The company explicitly states no single client accounts for a... Read more

$78.06+5.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#6 of 40 Capital Markets
Stop $72.78Target $82.14(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$87.75+12.4%8 analysts
$82.14our TP
$78.06price
$87.75mean
$103

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$12.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn15.4%
ROE
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta1.10
Dividend1.63%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$60-23.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.12Resistance $83.82

Price Targets

$73
$82
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.6% upside)
! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $82.14 (+5.2%), stop $72.78 (−7.3%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.14 (+5.9% upside). Target $82.14 (+5.2%), stop $72.78 (−7.3%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $72.78.

What are the risks of investing in SF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is SF overvalued or undervalued?

Stifel Financial Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SF?

16 analysts cover SF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $88.

What does Stifel Financial Corporation do?Stifel Financial is a US financial holding company providing wealth management (2,200+ advisors in 402 offices across...

Stifel Financial is a US financial holding company providing wealth management (2,200+ advisors in 402 offices across 48 states), institutional equity and fixed income, investment banking, and commercial banking. The company explicitly states no single client accounts for a material percentage of any segment.

Related stocks: FUTU (Futu Holdings Limited) · VIRT (Virtu Financial, Inc.) · EVR (Evercore Inc.) · PIPR (Piper Sandler Companies) · BGC (BGC Group, Inc.)