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Loews Corporation (L) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $108.01: Concentration risk — Product: CNA Financial (81.2%); Concentration risk — Counterparty: National Indemnity Company (NICO).

Loews Corporation is a holding company with three operating subsidiaries: CNA Financial (commercial P&C insurance, ~81% of consolidated revenue), Boardwalk Pipeline Partners (natural gas and NGL transportation and storage, ~13%), and Loews Hotels. It also holds ~53% of Altium... Read more

$108.01+3.3% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#27 of 29 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield9.38%
IncomeYield0.23%(5y avg 0.36%)Payout3.18%sustainable
Stop $102.87Target $111.56(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $108.01: Concentration risk — Product: CNA Financial (81.2%); Concentration risk — Counterparty: National Indemnity Company (NICO). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Loews Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: CNA Financial (81.2%)
Concentration risk — Counterparty: National Indemnity Company (NICO)
Earnings expected to decline ~63% (cyclical peak)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)37.2
Mkt Cap$22.2B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn8.8%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth1.4%
Beta0.56
Dividend0.23%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV31%normal
Max Pain$75-30.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductCNA Financial81%
    10-K Item 1: 'CNA accounted for 81.2%, 81.5% and 83.6% of our consolidated total revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023'
  • HIGHcounterpartyNational Indemnity Company (NICO)
    10-K Item 1A: 'substantially all of its legacy A&EP liabilities were ceded to National Indemnity Company ("NICO")... subject to an aggregate limit of $4.0 billion'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.7
Revenue Growth
2.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.4
Quality Rank
2.6
Value Rank
4.2
GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $102.88Resistance $113.84

Price Targets

$103
$112
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 37x vs trail 14x (2.7x)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is L stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $108.01: Concentration risk — Product: CNA Financial (81.2%); Concentration risk — Counterparty: National Indemnity Company (NICO). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $102.87. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the L stock price target?

Take-profit target: $111.56 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $102.87. Stop-loss: $102.87.

What are the risks of investing in L?

Concentration risk — Product: CNA Financial (81.2%); Concentration risk — Counterparty: National Indemnity Company (NICO); Earnings expected to decline ~63% (cyclical peak).

Is L overvalued or undervalued?

Loews Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 37.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about L?

7 analysts cover L with a consensus score of 2.1/5.

What does Loews Corporation do?Loews Corporation is a holding company with three operating subsidiaries: CNA Financial (commercial P&C insurance, ~81%...

Loews Corporation is a holding company with three operating subsidiaries: CNA Financial (commercial P&C insurance, ~81% of consolidated revenue), Boardwalk Pipeline Partners (natural gas and NGL transportation and storage, ~13%), and Loews Hotels. It also holds ~53% of Altium Packaging LLC.

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