Skip to main content

Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.72: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Kohl's Corporation operates as an omnichannel retailer in the United States. It offers apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty products, and home products through its stores and website. The company provides its products primarily under the brand names of Apt. 9, Croft & Barrow,... Read more

$11.72+25.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#3 of 4 Department Stores
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield59.40%
IncomeYield4.25%(5y avg 7.29%)Payout21.01%sustainable
Stop $11.04Target $14.75(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$16.96+44.7%12 analysts
$14.75our TP
$11.72price
$16.96mean
$8
$41

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.72: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 20, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Kohl's Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.9
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth-4.2%
Beta1.49
Dividend4.25%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV98%elevated
Max Pain$7-40.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.5
Capitulation risk (RSI 20, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Volatile — 6.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
3.7
Days To Cover
4.1
Beta
5.0
Put Call
7.1
High short interest: 28%High IV: 98%Above max pain $7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
7.1
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.38Resistance $16.17

Price Targets

$11
$15
A.Upside+25.9%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-28 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KSS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.72: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 20, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $11.04. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KSS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.75 (+25.9% upside). Prior stop was $11.04. Stop-loss: $11.04.

What are the risks of investing in KSS?

Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is KSS overvalued or undervalued?

Kohl's Corporation trades at a P/E of 4.9 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KSS?

21 analysts cover KSS with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Kohl's Corporation do?Kohl's Corporation operates as an omnichannel retailer in the United States. It offers apparel, footwear, accessories,...

Kohl's Corporation operates as an omnichannel retailer in the United States. It offers apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty products, and home products through its stores and website. The company provides its products primarily under the brand names of Apt. 9, Croft & Barrow, FLX, Jumping Beans, SO, Sonoma Goods for Life, and Tek Gear, as well as LC Lauren Conrad, Nine West, and Simply Vera Vera Wang. Kohl's Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.

Related stocks: DDS (Dillard's, Inc.) · M (Macy's Inc) · PLBL (Polibeli Group Ltd) · ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite) · MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited)