Dillard's has delivered four consecutive earnings beats at an average surprise above 28%, and its shares trade at a forward multiple of roughly 16.6 times with a PEG below 0.35—a combination that keeps valuation attractive even as price momentum has softened and the stock sits in a range-bound pattern with a high short-interest overhang.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance↓Deteriorating
- Quality Balance Sheet Returns→Stable
- Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $655.34 — A.R:R is negative (-3.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was reincorporated in Texas in 2025). As of January 31, 2026, we operated 271 Dillard's stores, including 28 clearance centers, and an Internet store at dillards.com offering... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $655.34 — A.R:R is negative (-3.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-15Recent Developments — Dillard's, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Dillard’s (DDS) Earnings Preview: EPS Seen at $10.13 on Retail Strength - Meyka — Meyka positive
- NEWS UBS Adjusts Price Target on Dillard's to $465 From $460, Maintains Sell Rating - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com negative
- NEWS Pacer Advisors Inc. Sells 3,760 Shares of Dillard's, Inc. $DDS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS DDS Q2'26 Earnings: EPS estimate is 4.32 USD - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS Dillard's Inc (DDS) Stock Up 4.2% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 82/100 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-10-15T11:42:22Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-09-18Item 3.01LOWOn September 17, 2026, Dillard's, Inc. (the "Company"), acting pursuant to authorization from its Board of Directors (the "Board"), notified the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") of its intention to voluntarily withdraw the primary listings of the Company's Class A common stock, par value $0.01 pe...SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $655.34 — A.R:R is negative (-3.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $609.47. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $688.25 (-29.2% upside). Prior stop was $609.47. Stop-loss: $609.47.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Dillard's, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 18.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover DDS with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $546.
What does Dillard's, Inc. do?The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was...
The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was reincorporated in Texas in 2025). As of January 31, 2026, we operated 271 Dillard's stores, including 28 clearance centers, and an Internet store at dillards.com offering a wide selection of merchandise including fashion apparel for women, men and children, accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods. The Company also operates a general contracti