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Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $576.96 — A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was reincorporated in Texas in 2025). As of January 31, 2026, we operated 271 Dillard's stores, including 28 clearance centers, and an Internet store at dillards.com offering... Read more

$576.96+8.6% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#4 of 4 Department Stores
Stop $536.60Target $626.38(resistance)A.R:R -3.3:1
Analyst target$519.67-9.9%3 analysts
$626.38our TP
$576.96price
$519.67mean
$449
$650

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $576.96 — A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.6/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.4
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$8.8B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE31.9%
Rev Growth-3.0%
Beta1.31
Dividend0.21%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Revenue shrinking — -3.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
1.4
Revenue Growth
1.8
Declining revenue: -3%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
7.1
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R -3.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $552.61Resistance $639.16

Price Targets

$537
$626
A.Upside+8.6%
A.R:R-3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.4% upside)
! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DDS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $576.96 — A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $536.60. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $626.38 (+8.6% upside). Prior stop was $536.60. Stop-loss: $536.60.

What are the risks of investing in DDS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.

Is DDS overvalued or undervalued?

Dillard's, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DDS?

11 analysts cover DDS with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $520.

What does Dillard's, Inc. do?The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was...

The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was reincorporated in Texas in 2025). As of January 31, 2026, we operated 271 Dillard's stores, including 28 clearance centers, and an Internet store at dillards.com offering a wide selection of merchandise including fashion apparel for women, men and children, accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods. The Company also operates a general contracti

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