Dillard's has delivered four consecutive earnings beats at an average surprise above 28%, and its shares trade at a forward multiple of roughly 16.6 times with a PEG below 0.35—a combination that keeps valuation attractive even as price momentum has softened and the stock sits in a range-bound pattern with a high short-interest overhang.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance↑Improving
- Quality Balance Sheet Returns↓Deteriorating
- Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores
Wait for pullback to $555.25. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $560.88. Engine's entry $555.25 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.
The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was reincorporated in Texas in 2025). As of January 31, 2026, we operated 271 Dillard's stores, including 28 clearance centers, and an Internet store at dillards.com offering... Read more
Wait for pullback to $555.25. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $560.88. Engine's entry $555.25 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-16Recent Developments — Dillard's, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Dillard’s (DDS) Earnings Preview: EPS Seen at $10.13 on Retail Strength - Meyka — Meyka positive
- NEWS UBS Adjusts Price Target on Dillard's to $465 From $460, Maintains Sell Rating - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com negative
- NEWS Pacer Advisors Inc. Sells 3,760 Shares of Dillard's, Inc. $DDS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS DDS Q2'26 Earnings: EPS estimate is 4.32 USD - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS Dillard's Inc (DDS) Stock Up 4.2% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 82/100 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-08-16T18:22:05Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $555.25. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $560.88. Engine's entry $555.25 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $638.82 (+13.9%), stop $495.68 (−13.2%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $638.82 (-18.5% upside). Target $638.82 (+13.9%), stop $495.68 (−13.2%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Stop-loss: $495.68.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.
Dillard's, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
11 analysts cover DDS with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $538.
What does Dillard's, Inc. do?The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was...
The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was reincorporated in Texas in 2025). As of January 31, 2026, we operated 271 Dillard's stores, including 28 clearance centers, and an Internet store at dillards.com offering a wide selection of merchandise including fashion apparel for women, men and children, accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods. The Company also operates a general contracti