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KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.Sell5.5·$34.96
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Kura Sushi USA is a fast-growing restaurant chain whose revenue reached $85.9M in the May 2026 quarter and which has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of 4 quarters, but it burns cash, carries 27% short interest and sits in a confirmed downtrend 61% below its high.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Cash Burn And Leverage→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Recovery→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 6, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Earnings in 3 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.96: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Kura Sushi USA operates 82 technology-enabled Japanese restaurants across 22 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., serving revolving conveyor-belt sushi and other Japanese cuisine under a license from its Japan-based parent and majority stockholder, Kura Sushi, Inc. (Kura Japan),... Read more

$34.96+56.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#11 of 30 Restaurants
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-7.64%
Stop $32.51Analyst target $54.70(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst consensus$62.88+79.8%8 analysts
$54.70Analyst target
$34.96price
$62.88mean
$85

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.96: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02

Recent Developments — Kura Sushi USA, Inc.

Generated 2026-11-02T11:53:16Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)144.0
Mkt Cap$425M
EV/EBITDA42.6
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-0.9%
Rev Growth16.2%
Beta1.29
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.8
Cash-burning: FCF -10% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dA.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.69Resistance $41.77

Price Targets

$33
$55
A.Upside+56.5%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRUS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.96: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $32.51. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KRUS stock price target?

Analyst target: $54.70 (+56.5% upside). Prior stop was $32.51. Stop-loss: $32.51.

What are the risks of investing in KRUS?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is KRUS overvalued or undervalued?

Kura Sushi USA, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 144.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KRUS?

15 analysts cover KRUS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Kura Sushi USA, Inc. do?Kura Sushi USA operates 82 technology-enabled Japanese restaurants across 22 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., serving...

Kura Sushi USA operates 82 technology-enabled Japanese restaurants across 22 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., serving revolving conveyor-belt sushi and other Japanese cuisine under a license from its Japan-based parent and majority stockholder, Kura Sushi, Inc. (Kura Japan), which holds 67% combined voting power. The company sourced 58% of its fiscal 2025 food and beverage costs from a single distributor, JFC International, and another 32% from Mutual Trading Co.

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