Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil sales (62.0%); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.
Kimbell Royalty Partners owns mineral and royalty interests in roughly 12.3 million gross acres and overriding royalty interests in 4.7 million gross acres across 28 U.S. states and all major onshore basins. Revenue comes from royalty payments on oil, gas, and NGL production,... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil sales (62.0%); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
About Kimbell Royalty Partners
About Kimbell Royalty Partners
Kimbell Royalty Partners held proved reserves of 72,944 MBoe as of December 31, 2025—entirely classified as proved developed reserves with 51.2% liquids content and an average initial five-year decline rate of 13.5%. The partnership owned mineral and royalty interests across roughly 12.3 million gross acres in 28 states, with 54% of aggregate acreage in the Permian Basin and Mid-Continent. At year-end, 85 rigs representing 16.1% of all U.S. continental drilling were active on company acreage.
Kimbell Royalty earns revenue exclusively from royalty payments on oil, natural gas, and NGL production, bearing no obligation for drilling, completion, or operating costs. The 2025 revenue mix was 62% oil, 25% natural gas, and 13% NGLs, with approximately 1,300 operators actively producing on the acreage at year-end. The ten largest operators—including ConocoPhillips, Vital Energy, EOG Resources, Occidental Petroleum, and Diamondback E&P LLC—collectively accounted for 47.1% of revenues, while the single largest purchaser represented just 7.7%. The company's $625.0 million secured revolving credit facility supports potential acquisitions, and the board may allocate a portion of available cash to debt repayment rather than distributions in any given quarter. Royalties received depend on prices operators realize from selling oil, natural gas, and NGL production, exposing the royalty stream to commodity-price movements outside Kimbell's control.
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The absence of a hedging program described in the 10-K means Kimbell Royalty's distributions vary with spot commodity prices: the filing discloses that revenues 'may vary significantly from period to period as a result of changes in volumes of production sold or changes in commodity prices,' and the partnership agreement requires distribution of all available cash each quarter rather than retention for hedging or reserve-replacement capital. With proved developed reserves of 72,944 MBoe declining at 13.5% annually in the initial five-year window, production growth depends on the pace of third-party operator drilling—a variable the partnership cannot control.
See also: Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
From Kimbell Royalty Partners's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Kimbell Royalty Partners
Latest news
- NEWS Kimbell Royalty Partners Shows Improved Relative Price Performance; Still Shy Of Benchmark - Investor's Business Daily — Investor's Business Daily neutral
- NEWS KRP DEVELOPMENT (02421) has dropped 6.557%. The last price is HK$0.57AA Market Move - Price Dropped - AASTOCKS.com — AASTOCKS.com negative
- NEWS KRP (Kimbell) delivers strong Q4 2025 results with 70.2 percent EPS upside and 3.6 percent year over year revenue growth — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai positive
- NEWS KRP (Kimbell Royalty Partners) Q4 2025 EPS outperforms estimates by 70 percent, shares tick higher on solid results. - C — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai positive
- NEWS Kimbell Royalty Partners: Fundamental And Investment Stability Amid Market Volatility - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T09:36:57Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten operators47%10-K Item 1: 'our top ten operators...together accounting for approximately 47.1% of our revenues'
- HIGHCommodityoil sales62%10-K Item 1: 'oil, natural gas and NGL revenues were generated 62% from oil sales, 25% from natural gas sales and 13% from NGL sales'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -6.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil sales (62.0%); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.07. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $16.53 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $14.07. Stop-loss: $14.07.
Concentration risk — Commodity: oil sales (62.0%); Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.
Kimbell Royalty Partners trades at a P/E of 32.2 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover KRP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $19.
What does Kimbell Royalty Partners do?Kimbell Royalty Partners owns mineral and royalty interests in roughly 12.3 million gross acres and overriding royalty...
Kimbell Royalty Partners owns mineral and royalty interests in roughly 12.3 million gross acres and overriding royalty interests in 4.7 million gross acres across 28 U.S. states and all major onshore basins. Revenue comes from royalty payments on oil, gas, and NGL production, with the 2025 mix at 62% oil, 25% natural gas, and 13% NGLs; the non-cost-bearing structure requires no drilling or operating investment.