Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. At $15.28, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil revenues (62.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin and Mid-Continent (54.0%).
Kimbell Royalty Partners is a Delaware LP owning mineral and royalty interests across ~12.3M gross acres and ORRIs across ~4.7M gross acres in 28 U.S. states. Revenue from royalty payments on oil (62%), natural gas (25%), and NGLs (13%) from ~1,300 active operators.
Sell if holding. At $15.28, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil revenues (62.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin and Mid-Continent (54.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCommodityoil revenues62%10-K Item 1: 'our oil, natural gas and NGL revenues were generated 62% from oil sales, 25% from natural gas sales and 13% from NGL sales'
- HIGHGeographicPermian Basin and Mid-Continent54%10-K Item 1: 'approximately 54% of our aggregate acres located in the Permian Basin and Mid-Continent'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $15.28, A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil revenues (62.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin and Mid-Continent (54.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $14.71. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.49 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $14.71. Stop-loss: $14.71.
Concentration risk — Commodity: oil revenues (62.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin and Mid-Continent (54.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Kimbell Royalty Partners trades at a P/E of 24.7 (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover KRP with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $18.
What does Kimbell Royalty Partners do?Kimbell Royalty Partners is a Delaware LP owning mineral and royalty interests across ~12.3M gross acres and ORRIs...
Kimbell Royalty Partners is a Delaware LP owning mineral and royalty interests across ~12.3M gross acres and ORRIs across ~4.7M gross acres in 28 U.S. states. Revenue from royalty payments on oil (62%), natural gas (25%), and NGLs (13%) from ~1,300 active operators.