Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (51.5%).
Karman Holdings designs and manufactures mission-critical systems for missile/defense and space programs, with three product families: Payload Protection, Aerodynamic Interstage, and Propulsion Systems. The company operates ~808,000 sq ft of facilities supporting 130+ active... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (51.5%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomertop-3 customers52%10-K Item 1A: 'Our three largest customers accounted for approximately 51.5% of revenue during the year ended December 31, 2025.'
- LOWSuppliersingle supplier (accounts payable)24%10-K Item 1A: 'one supplier accounted for approximately 23.8% of accounts payable as of December 31, 2025.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-12Item 5.02MEDIUMCEO Anthony Koblinski to retire effective March 23, 2026; no disagreement cited. Jonathan Rambeau (former L3Harris segment president) appointed as CEO effective March 23, 2026. Clean handoff with named successor.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (51.5%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $63.53. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $101.88 (+53.8% upside). Prior stop was $63.53. Stop-loss: $63.53.
Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (51.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Negative momentum.
Karman Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 507.5 (forward 67.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover KRMN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $117.
What does Karman Holdings Inc. do?Karman Holdings designs and manufactures mission-critical systems for missile/defense and space programs, with three...
Karman Holdings designs and manufactures mission-critical systems for missile/defense and space programs, with three product families: Payload Protection, Aerodynamic Interstage, and Propulsion Systems. The company operates ~808,000 sq ft of facilities supporting 130+ active programs, with revenue spread across hypersonics, tactical missiles, and space/launch end markets.