Skip to main content

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $66.25: Concentration risk — Customer: top three customers (51.5%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

Karman Holdings designs, tests, and manufactures mission-critical payload protection, aerodynamic interstage, and propulsion systems for US defense and space programs across three end markets: Hypersonics & Strategic Missile Defense (32%), Tactical Missiles & IDS (32%), and... Read more

$66.25+47.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#13 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.48%
Stop $61.58Target $97.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$112.10+69.2%10 analysts
$97.53our TP
$66.25price
$112.10mean
$37
$135

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $66.25: Concentration risk — Customer: top three customers (51.5%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Karman Holdings Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 47%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top three customers (51.5%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)272.9
P/E (Fwd)66.7
Mkt Cap$8.3B
EV/EBITDA66.8
Profit Mgn5.7%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth51.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop three customers52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our three largest customers accounted for approximately 51.5% of revenue during the year ended December 31, 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Anthony Koblinski retiring effective March 23, 2026; will remain a Board member. Board appointed Jonathan Rambeau (former President of L3Harris Communications & Spectrum Dominance segment) as CEO effective March 23, 2026. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
4.1
Growth Rank
8.4
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.01Resistance $86.57

Price Targets

$62
$98
A.Upside+47.2%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts17
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$112

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRMN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $66.25: Concentration risk — Customer: top three customers (51.5%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $61.58. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

What is the KRMN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.53 (+47.3% upside). Prior stop was $61.58. Stop-loss: $61.58.

What are the risks of investing in KRMN?

Concentration risk — Customer: top three customers (51.5%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is KRMN overvalued or undervalued?

Karman Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 272.9 (forward 66.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KRMN?

17 analysts cover KRMN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $112.

What does Karman Holdings Inc. do?Karman Holdings designs, tests, and manufactures mission-critical payload protection, aerodynamic interstage, and...

Karman Holdings designs, tests, and manufactures mission-critical payload protection, aerodynamic interstage, and propulsion systems for US defense and space programs across three end markets: Hypersonics & Strategic Missile Defense (32%), Tactical Missiles & IDS (32%), and Space & Launch (36%). The company generated $471.5M in revenue in 2025 (+36.6% YoY) with ~80 customers and over 130 programs; the three largest customers accounted for ~51.5% of revenue.

Related stocks: LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) · VVX (V2X, Inc.) · FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.) · TDG (Transdigm Group Incorporated) · NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation)