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Kroger Company (The) (KR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.14 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5.

Our Company is built on the foundation of our retail grocery business, which includes the added convenience of our retail pharmacies and fuel centers. Our strategy is focused on growing households and increasing customer loyalty by delivering great value and convenience, and... Read more

$68.14+6.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#1 of 5 Grocery Stores
Stop $64.78Target $72.41(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$75.45+10.7%22 analysts
$72.41our TP
$68.14price
$75.45mean
$59
$86

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.14 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), High leverage (D/E 4.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.6
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$42.5B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn0.7%
ROE14.4%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta0.55
Dividend2.09%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$40-41.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    ** **Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** On February 8, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of The Kroger Co. (the "Company") appointed Gregory S.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
3.0
Quality Rank
4.0
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $65.62Resistance $73.89

Price Targets

$65
$72
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-22 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.14 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $64.78. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the KR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.41 (+6.5% upside). Prior stop was $64.78. Stop-loss: $64.78.

What are the risks of investing in KR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), High leverage (D/E 4.2).

Is KR overvalued or undervalued?

Kroger Company (The) trades at a P/E of 43.6 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KR?

33 analysts cover KR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $75.

What does Kroger Company (The) do?Our Company is built on the foundation of our retail grocery business, which includes the added convenience of our...

Our Company is built on the foundation of our retail grocery business, which includes the added convenience of our retail pharmacies and fuel centers. Our strategy is focused on growing households and increasing customer loyalty by delivering great value and convenience, and investing in Fresh, _Our Brands_ , Personalization and eCommerce.

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