Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the KOS stock price target?

Take-profit $3.11 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $2.81.

Q: What are the risks of investing in KOS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Africa and the Gulf of America; Target reached (-22.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0); Target reached (-22.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Q: Is KOS overvalued or undervalued?

Kosmos Energy Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 64.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about KOS?

15 analysts cover KOS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $3.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Kosmos Energy is a deepwater E&P company with oil and gas operations offshore Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, Mauritania, Senegal, and the Gulf of America. Revenue from oil and natural gas sales; the company is developing LNG through the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim field.

$3.03+2.8% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#32 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P

Stop $2.81Target $3.11(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1

Analyst target$2.69-11.1%9 analysts

$3.11our TP

$3.03price

$2.69mean

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Geographic: Africa and the Gulf of America

Target reached (-22.5% upside)

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)64.4

Mkt Cap$1.8B

EV/EBITDA9.7

Profit Mgn-54.3%

ROE-80.9%

Rev Growth-25.8%

Beta0.66

DividendNone

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish

IV93%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHGeographicAfrica and the Gulf of America
10-K Item 1A: 'The geographic locations of our licenses in Africa and the Gulf of America subject us to a risk of loss of revenue or curtailment of production from factors specifically affecting those areas'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.915%0.89

Quality2.815%0.42

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum6.210%0.62

Sentiment5.510%0.55

Insider Activity5.710%0.57

Peer Rank2.410%0.24

Technical Setup4.75%0.24

Risk Profile5.25%0.26

Catalyst2.95%0.14

Overall (Σ contributions)4.67

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.0

Growth Rank

0.3

Value Rank

9.2

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe

0.0

Roa

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Current Ratio

3.0

Piotroski F

4.4

Fcf Quality

4.6

Gross Margin

5.0

Moat

5.0

FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 5%, FCF yield 3.8%)No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

0.0

Surprise Avg

0.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Erm

6.5

Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 4 days

GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.36%=HEAVYEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

69 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $2.33Resistance $3.17

Price Targets

A.Upside+2.6%

A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.5% upside)

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

0/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is KOS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $2.81. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KOS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.11 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $2.81. Stop-loss: $2.81.

What are the risks of investing in KOS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Africa and the Gulf of America; Target reached (-22.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is KOS overvalued or undervalued?

Kosmos Energy Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 64.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KOS?

15 analysts cover KOS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Kosmos Energy Ltd. do?Kosmos Energy is a deepwater E&P company with oil and gas operations offshore Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, Mauritania,...