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Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $91.83: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.93; Below-average business quality.

Our 1.3 billion tons of aggregate reserves provide the foundation for our vertically integrated business strategy, with approximately 35 percent of our aggregates in 2025 being used internally to support value-added downstream products (ready-mix concrete and asphalt) and... Read more

$91.83-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#2 of 12 Building Materials
Stop $85.23Target $89.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$102.50+11.6%10 analysts
$89.91our TP
$91.83price
$102.50mean
$80
$123

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $91.83: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.93; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-2.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.5
P/E (Fwd)22.4
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn5.0%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth14.9%
Beta0.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C3.93bearish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 4 days

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
2.1
52w Position
7.8

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
2.5
Operating Margin
3.3
Roe
3.4
Roa
3.8
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
8.6
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -87% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $73.00Resistance $91.75

Price Targets

$85
$90
A.Upside-2.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KNF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $91.83: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.93; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $85.23. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KNF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.91 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $85.23. Stop-loss: $85.23.

What are the risks of investing in KNF?

Target reached (-2.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is KNF overvalued or undervalued?

Knife Riv Holding Co. trades at a P/E of 32.5 (forward 22.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KNF?

16 analysts cover KNF with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $103.

What does Knife Riv Holding Co. do?Our 1.3 billion tons of aggregate reserves provide the foundation for our vertically integrated business strategy, with...

Our 1.3 billion tons of aggregate reserves provide the foundation for our vertically integrated business strategy, with approximately 35 percent of our aggregates in 2025 being used internally to support value-added downstream products (ready-mix concrete and asphalt) and contracting services (asphalt paving, heavy-civil construction, concrete construction, site development and grading services, and in some segments the manufacturing of prestressed concrete produ

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