Skip to main content

Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.83: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Our 1.3 billion tons of aggregate reserves provide the foundation for our vertically integrated business strategy, with approximately 35 percent of our aggregates in 2025 being used internally to support value-added downstream products (ready-mix concrete and asphalt) and... Read more

$70.83+28.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#11 of 12 Building Materials
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.06%
Stop $67.29Target $91.06(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$104.67+47.8%9 analysts
$91.06our TP
$70.83price
$104.67mean
$125

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.83: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 25, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Knife Riv Holding Co.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.6
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth16.0%
Beta0.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV56%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
7.3
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
2.3
Roe
3.3
Roa
3.4
Moat
4.9
Piotroski F
7.8
Current Ratio
9.0
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -29% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.37Resistance $94.19

Price Targets

$67
$91
A.Upside+28.6%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KNF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.83: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 25, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $67.29. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KNF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.06 (+28.6% upside). Prior stop was $67.29. Stop-loss: $67.29.

What are the risks of investing in KNF?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is KNF overvalued or undervalued?

Knife Riv Holding Co. trades at a P/E of 27.6 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KNF?

15 analysts cover KNF with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $105.

What does Knife Riv Holding Co. do?Our 1.3 billion tons of aggregate reserves provide the foundation for our vertically integrated business strategy, with...

Our 1.3 billion tons of aggregate reserves provide the foundation for our vertically integrated business strategy, with approximately 35 percent of our aggregates in 2025 being used internally to support value-added downstream products (ready-mix concrete and asphalt) and contracting services (asphalt paving, heavy-civil construction, concrete construction, site development and grading services, and in some segments the manufacturing of prestressed concrete produ

Related stocks: LOMA (Loma Negra Compania Industrial ) · TGLS (Tecnoglass Inc.) · EXP (Eagle Materials Inc) · CX (Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored) · MLM (Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.)