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CPACCementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.Sell5.8·$11.92+0.85%
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Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (CPAC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings expected to decline ~75% (cyclical peak).

Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. produces, distributes, and sells cement and cement-related materials in Peru. It operates in three segments: Cement, Concrete, Mortar, Pavement and Precast; Quicklime; and Sales of Construction Supplies. The company offers cement and concrete products... Read more

$11.92+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield23.35%
IncomeYield5.10%Payout96.90%at-risk
Stop $11.20Target $12.45(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$11.93+0.1%3 analysts
$12.45our TP
$11.92price
$11.93mean
$10
$13

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings expected to decline ~75% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~75% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)77.4
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA4.5
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta0.11
Dividend5.10%
Rating analysts3

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.2
Earnings Timing
5.0
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.20Resistance $12.70

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 77x vs trail 19x (4.0x)
! Target reached (-14.9% upside)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings expected to decline ~75% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $11.20. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.45 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $11.20. Stop-loss: $11.20.

What are the risks of investing in CPAC?

Earnings expected to decline ~75% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is CPAC overvalued or undervalued?

Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 77.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. do?Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. produces, distributes, and sells cement and cement-related materials in Peru. It operates in...

Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. produces, distributes, and sells cement and cement-related materials in Peru. It operates in three segments: Cement, Concrete, Mortar, Pavement and Precast; Quicklime; and Sales of Construction Supplies. The company offers cement and concrete products for use in residential and commercial construction, and civil engineering; ready-mix concrete for use in construction sites; concrete precast, such as paving units or paver stones for pedestrian walkways, as well as other bricks for partition walls and concrete precast for structural and non-structural uses; and cement-based products. It also produces and distributes quicklime for use in steel, food, fishing, and chemical industries. In addition, the company sells and distributes other construction materials manufactured by third parties, such as steel rebar, wires, nails, corrugated iron, electric conductors, and plastic tubes and accessories. It offers its products directly to other retailers, private construction companies, and through a network of independent retailers and hardware stores. Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Lima, Peru. Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. is a subsidiary of Inversiones ASPI S.A.

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