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Loma Negra Compania Industrial (LOMA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.79: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement and its derivatives in Argentina. The company operates through Cement, Masonry Cement, and Lime; Concrete; Rail services; Aggregates; and Others segments. It... Read more

$10.79+18.2% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#11 of 12 Building Materials
Stop $10.34Target $12.75(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$15.00+39.0%4 analysts
Range unavailable (4 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.79: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)77.6
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA1.6
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE2.2%
Rev Growth-3.2%
Beta0.69
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV94%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.7
Declining revenue: -3%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.4
Roe
0.7
Net Margin
1.4
Roa
1.9
Operating Margin
4.1
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.3
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -291% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
8.3
Uptrend pullback (RSI 32) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dA.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.66Resistance $11.97

Price Targets

$10
$13
A.Upside+18.2%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LOMA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.79: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $10.34. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LOMA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.75 (+18.2% upside). Prior stop was $10.34. Stop-loss: $10.34.

What are the risks of investing in LOMA?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is LOMA overvalued or undervalued?

Loma Negra Compania Industrial trades at a P/E of 77.6 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LOMA?

9 analysts cover LOMA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Loma Negra Compania Industrial do?Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells...

Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement and its derivatives in Argentina. The company operates through Cement, Masonry Cement, and Lime; Concrete; Rail services; Aggregates; and Others segments. It offers masonry cement, aggregates, ready-mix concrete, concrete, and lime to wholesale distributors, concrete producers, industrial customers, and others. The company also provides rail transportation services; and treats and recycles industrial waste for use as fuel and raw material. It markets its products under the Loma Negra, San Martín, Plasticor, Cacique Plus, Cacique Max, Loma Negra Plus, and Lomax brands. The company was incorporated in 1926 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima operates as a subsidiary of Intercement Trading E Inversiones Argentina Sociedad Limitada.

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