The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.61: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.65; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
The Kraft Heinz Company produces and markets branded food and beverage products with approximately 25 billion in 2025 net sales across four segments. Key brands include Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia, and Velveeta. A planned separation into two public companies... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.61: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.65; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomersignificant customers10-K Item 1A: 'We derive significant portions of our sales from certain significant customers'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-18Item 5.02MEDIUMPedro Navio, EVP and President North America, stepping down effective February 22, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. Remains as advisor through March 6, 2026. No successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -3.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -23.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.61: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.65; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $21.63. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $23.15 (+2.6% upside). Prior stop was $21.63. Stop-loss: $21.63.
Target reached (-4.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).
The Kraft Heinz Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover KHC with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $24.
What does The Kraft Heinz Company do?The Kraft Heinz Company produces and markets branded food and beverage products with approximately 25 billion in 2025...
The Kraft Heinz Company produces and markets branded food and beverage products with approximately 25 billion in 2025 net sales across four segments. Key brands include Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia, and Velveeta. A planned separation into two public companies announced September 2025 was paused in February 2026.