The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.08: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.02; Below-average business quality.
The Kraft Heinz Company manufactures and markets food and beverage products globally under brands including Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia, and Lunchables, with ~$25B in 2025 net sales. Operating through North America, International Developed Markets, and Emerging... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.08: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.02; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About The Kraft Heinz Company
About The Kraft Heinz Company
Kraft Heinz generated approximately $25 billion in net sales in 2025, with Walmart Inc. representing approximately 21% — consistent across 2023, 2024, and 2025 — as the single largest customer across both the North America and International Developed Markets reportable segments. The five largest customers in the North America segment accounted for 46% of North America net sales. The company employed approximately 35,000 people in 40 countries at December 27, 2025, organized across eight consumer-driven product platforms.
Kraft Heinz earns revenue from branded packaged food sold through chain grocery, warehouse clubs, convenience stores, foodservice distributors, and e-commerce. The Taste Elevation platform — condiments, sauces, dressings, and spreads — represented 45% of consolidated net sales in 2025, followed by Easy Ready Meals (17%), Meats (8%), Hydration (8%), and Cheese (7%). Input costs span dairy, meat, sugar, coffee, tomato products, and soybean oils sourced globally; the company uses hedging techniques to partially limit commodity price exposure but does not fully hedge against price changes. In 2025, tariff and trade policy actions elevated inflationary pressures in supply chain costs. North America brands include Kraft, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia, and Heinz; International Developed Markets runs Heinz, Golden Circle, and Wattie's. The company competes with both branded-product manufacturers and retailer private-label offerings across all categories.
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Commodity input costs — dairy, meat, sugar, coffee, tomato products, soybean oils, wheat, and processed grains — represent the dominant cost exposure, subject to global competition for resources, severe weather, and geopolitical conflict. Hedging provides partial protection but the company acknowledges its strategies may not guard against increases in specific raw material costs. The 2025 10-K also notes the Board's decision on February 11, 2026 to pause the proposed separation of Kraft Heinz into two publicly traded companies, announced in September 2025 — a strategic uncertainty that may affect supplier and customer relationships during the pendency of any resumed separation process.
See also: Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
From The Kraft Heinz Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — The Kraft Heinz Company
Latest news
- NEWS Sen. Gary C Peters Has Bought Up to $15K Worth Of Kraft Heinz Stock: Here's What You Should Know — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Spotlight On 3 Risk Off Stocks Delivering High-Dividend Yields — benzinga Jun 9, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Bernstein Downgrades Kraft Heinz to Underperform, Lowers Price Target to $21 — benzinga Jun 3, 2026 negative
- NEWS 'Kraft Heinz CEO Says Next Year We Will Have A Better Innovation Pipeline Than In 2026; Working To Avoid Increasing Pric — benzinga Jun 3, 2026 positive
- NEWS Following Buffett: Greg Abel Cuts Berkshire Holdings Dating Back To 2011 — But The Big Names Stay Put — benzinga May 18, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T09:02:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerWalmart21%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer, Walmart Inc., represented approximately 21% of our net sales in 2025, 2024, and 2023.'
- HIGHCustomerfive largest customers in North America46%10-K Item 1: 'the five largest customers in our North America segment accounted for approximately 46% of North America segment net sales'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-18Item 5.02MEDIUMPedro Navio (EVP and President, North America) stepping down effective February 22, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. Will remain as advisor through March 6, 2026 and receive severance. No immediate successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -23.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.08: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.02; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $22.90. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $23.92 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $22.90. Stop-loss: $22.90.
Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (21.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: five largest customers in North America (46.0%); Target reached (-12.3% upside).
The Kraft Heinz Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover KHC with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $23.
What does The Kraft Heinz Company do?The Kraft Heinz Company manufactures and markets food and beverage products globally under brands including Kraft,...
The Kraft Heinz Company manufactures and markets food and beverage products globally under brands including Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia, and Lunchables, with ~$25B in 2025 net sales. Operating through North America, International Developed Markets, and Emerging Markets segments, it earns revenue from retail, foodservice, and e-commerce channels. Walmart represents approximately 21% of consolidated net sales.