KB Home (KBH) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the KBH stock price target?

Take-profit $47.98 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $43.68.

Q: What are the risks of investing in KBH?

Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Florida, Nevada and Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0); Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is KBH overvalued or undervalued?

KB Home trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about KBH?

25 analysts cover KBH with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $55.

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 1 days ago (May 19, 2026, 7:16 AM ET)

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.64: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

KB Home is one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, operating in 9 states and 49 markets primarily serving first-time and first move-up buyers through a Built to Order approach. Homebuilding accounts for 99.6% of 2025 revenues, with operations concentrated in California, Florida,... Read more

$45.64+5.1% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#14 of 16 Residential Construction

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield14.96%

IncomeYield2.19%(5y avg 1.52%)Payout19.31%sustainable

Stop $43.68Target $47.98(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1

Analyst target$55.15+20.8%13 analysts

$47.98our TP

$45.64price

$55.15mean

$77

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — KB Home

Material events (past 30 days)

May 1, 2026 HIGH Item 5.02: CFO Robert R. Dillard resigned effective May 8, 2026. No successor named. Departure not related to any disagreement with KB Home or its financial or accounting policies.

Latest news

Truist Securities Maintains Hold on KB Home, Lowers Price Target to $50 — benzinga May 4, 2026 negative
KB Home Robert R. Dillard Resigns As CFO Effective May 8, 2026 — benzinga May 1, 2026 negative
Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on KB Home, Raises Price Target to $54 — benzinga Apr 13, 2026 positive
This Lennar Analyst Turns Bearish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Tuesday — benzinga Apr 7, 2026 negative
Seaport Global Downgrades KB Home to Sell, Lowers Price Target to $43 — benzinga Apr 7, 2026 negative

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Florida, Nevada and Texas

Concentration risk — Geographic: California

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.8

P/E (Fwd)10.2

Mkt Cap$2.9B

EV/EBITDA9.0

Profit Mgn6.0%

ROE8.9%

Rev Growth-22.6%

Beta1.42

Dividend2.19%

Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral

IV49%normal

Max Pain$80+75.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHGeographicCalifornia, Florida, Nevada and Texas
10-K Item 1A: 'our business is presently concentrated in California, Florida, Nevada and Texas'
HIGHGeographicCalifornia
10-K Item 1A: 'We generate the highest proportion of our revenues from and make significant inventory investments in our California operations.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-05-01Item 5.02HIGH
CFO Robert R. Dillard resigned effective May 8, 2026. No successor named. Departure not related to any disagreement with KB Home or its financial or accounting policies.
SEC filing →
2026-02-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
Amendment discloses Robert McGibney's compensation as new President and CEO (effective March 1, 2026); Jeffrey Mezger transitions to Executive Chairman. Clean CEO succession with named successor.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.015%1.20

Quality3.915%0.58

Growth0.015%0.00

Momentum1.910%0.19

Sentiment4.610%0.46

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.010%0.30

Technical Setup6.65%0.33

Risk Profile5.45%0.27

Catalyst5.15%0.26

Overall (Σ contributions)4.09

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -22.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.0

Earnings Growth

0.0

Declining revenue: -23%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Ma Position

1.5

Obv

1.9

Rsi

3.0

Volume

3.2

Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

1.3

Quality Rank

2.5

Value Rank

8.4

Attractive P/E vs peers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

1.2

Roa

2.9

Roe

3.0

Net Margin

3.0

Moat

3.9

Current Ratio

5.2

Piotroski F

6.7

Fcf Quality

9.0

Excellent cash conversion: 121% FCF/NINo competitive moat

GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

22 · Oversold

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $45.03Resistance $57.26

Price Targets

$44

$48

A.Upside+5.1%

A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-06-23 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is KBH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.64: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $43.68. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KBH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.98 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $43.68. Stop-loss: $43.68.

What are the risks of investing in KBH?

Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Florida, Nevada and Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is KBH overvalued or undervalued?

KB Home trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KBH?

25 analysts cover KBH with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $55.

What does KB Home do?KB Home is one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, operating in 9 states and 49 markets primarily serving first-time and...