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Tecnoglass Inc. (TGLS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $42.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Tecnoglass is a vertically integrated manufacturer, supplier, and installer of aluminum/vinyl windows and architectural glass for commercial and residential construction, with the US accounting for 96% of revenues. Primary manufacturing is in a 6.1M sq ft complex in... Read more

$42.05+15.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#3 of 12 Building Materials
Stop $39.59Target $48.45(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$57.00+35.6%3 analysts
$48.45our TP
$42.05price
$57.00mean
$61

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $42.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE23.7%
Rev Growth2.4%
Beta1.55
Dividend1.41%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV77%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSuppliertop-2 raw material suppliers37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'two suppliers accounted for more than 10% of total raw material purchases, and in aggregate both account for 37.3% of total raw material purchases'
  • MEDIUMCustomerten largest third-party customers34%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our ten largest third-party customers worldwide collectively accounted for 33.9% of our total sales revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.1
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5INSIDER 1.16%=EXTREMEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $40.81Resistance $46.27

Price Targets

$40
$48
A.Upside+15.2%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Insider activity: 1.16%=extreme
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TGLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $42.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $39.59. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TGLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.45 (+15.1% upside). Prior stop was $39.59. Stop-loss: $39.59.

What are the risks of investing in TGLS?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is TGLS overvalued or undervalued?

Tecnoglass Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TGLS?

10 analysts cover TGLS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Tecnoglass Inc. do?Tecnoglass is a vertically integrated manufacturer, supplier, and installer of aluminum/vinyl windows and architectural...

Tecnoglass is a vertically integrated manufacturer, supplier, and installer of aluminum/vinyl windows and architectural glass for commercial and residential construction, with the US accounting for 96% of revenues. Primary manufacturing is in a 6.1M sq ft complex in Barranquilla, Colombia. It supplies 1,000+ customers in the Americas, Caribbean, and Pacific.

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