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TGLSTecnoglass Inc.Sell5.4·$44.85+2.21%
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Tecnoglass Inc. (TGLS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. At $44.85, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (96.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida.

Tecnoglass manufactures aluminum and vinyl windows and architectural glass from a 6.1M sqft complex in Barranquilla, Colombia, with 96% of revenues from the United States. Revenue comes from sales to over 1,000 customers including developers and general contractors, with... Read more

$44.85+8.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 12 Building Materials
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.06%
IncomeYield1.37%(5y avg 0.83%)Payout18.58%sustainable
Stop $41.71Target $48.45(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$57.00+27.1%3 analysts
$48.45our TP
$44.85price
$57.00mean
$61

Sell if holding. At $44.85, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (96.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Tecnoglass Inc.

About Tecnoglass Inc.

Tecnoglass manufactures aluminum and vinyl windows and architectural glass from a 6.1 million square foot production complex in Barranquilla, Colombia, with the United States accounting for 96% of revenues in 2025. Residential sales grew to 41% of total sales in fiscal 2025, up from less than 5% in 2017, while Florida represented more than 90% of U.S. revenue. The company ranks among the four largest glass fabricators serving the United States per Glass Magazine's 2025 ranking.

Tecnoglass prices aluminum products based on the London Metal Exchange price plus a premium, with polyvinyl butyral and glass price lists updated annually, providing partial short-term price stability for orders. The company uses aluminum forward contracts to partially offset extrusion cost volatility, though the 10-K notes sustained upward aluminum price trends could materially impair results if increases cannot be passed to customers. Two raw material suppliers accounted for 37.3% of total purchases in 2025, and the top 10 customers represented 33.9% of total sales revenue, with no single customer exceeding 10%. The cost structure benefits from Colombian labor wages materially below U.S. equivalents and maritime freight to the U.S. East Coast that often undercuts domestic land shipment costs due to trade imbalances on Colombia-to-U.S. container routes. U.S. competitors include Viracon (a subsidiary of Apogee Enterprises), PGT, Cardinal Glass, and Oldcastle Glass.

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The 10-K flags that Tecnoglass operates the vast majority of its business from a single production facility in Barranquilla, Colombia, which the filing characterizes as creating concentrated risk if adverse economic, regulatory, or political conditions affect that area. For key inputs such as electricity, the company relies on limited or single suppliers given its single-site footprint. A prolonged disruption at the Barranquilla complex from equipment failure, labor action, or political instability may prevent all production and distribution to the U.S. market with no alternative facility to absorb the volume.

See also: Basic Materials · Building Materials

From Tecnoglass Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (96.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida
Thin upside margin: 8.0%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn14.8%
ROE21.0%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta1.43
Dividend1.37%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$65+44.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States96%
    10-K Item 1: 'the United States accounting for 96% of revenues'
  • HIGHGeographicFlorida
    10-K Item 1: 'sales in Florida comprised more than 90% of United States revenue in the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMSuppliertop-2 raw material suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'two suppliers accounted for more than 10% of total raw material purchases, and in aggregate both account for 37.3% of total raw material purchases'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop-10 customers34%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our ten largest third-party customers worldwide collectively accounted for 33.9% of our total sales revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
1.1

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.5
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $38.30Resistance $45.68

Price Targets

$42
$48
A.Upside+8.0%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TGLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $44.85, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (96.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $41.71. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TGLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.45 (+8.0% upside). Prior stop was $41.71. Stop-loss: $41.71.

What are the risks of investing in TGLS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (96.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Thin upside margin: 8.0%.

Is TGLS overvalued or undervalued?

Tecnoglass Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TGLS?

9 analysts cover TGLS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Tecnoglass Inc. do?Tecnoglass manufactures aluminum and vinyl windows and architectural glass from a 6.1M sqft complex in Barranquilla,...

Tecnoglass manufactures aluminum and vinyl windows and architectural glass from a 6.1M sqft complex in Barranquilla, Colombia, with 96% of revenues from the United States. Revenue comes from sales to over 1,000 customers including developers and general contractors, with residential sales at 41% of 2025 total. Low-cost Colombian manufacturing and vertical integration provide a structural cost advantage over U.S.-based competitors.

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