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Tecnoglass Inc. (TGLS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (96.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida.

Tecnoglass manufactures aluminum/vinyl windows and architectural glass at its 6.1M sq ft vertically integrated facility in Barranquilla, Colombia, selling 96% of revenues in the U.S. market. In 2025, Florida comprised more than 90% of U.S. revenue; residential sales were 41% of... Read more

$38.98+24.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 12 Building Materials
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.07%
IncomeYield1.52%(5y avg 0.81%)Payout18.58%sustainable
Stop $36.39Target $48.45(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$57.00+46.2%3 analysts
$48.45our TP
$38.98price
$57.00mean
$61

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (96.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Tecnoglass Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (96.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn14.8%
ROE21.0%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta1.42
Dividend1.52%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States96%
    10-K Item 1: 'the United States accounting for 96% of revenues'
  • HIGHGeographicFlorida
    10-K Item 1: 'sales in Florida comprised more than 90% of United States revenue in the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMSuppliertop-2 raw material suppliers37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'two suppliers accounted for more than 10% of total raw material purchases, and in aggregate both account for 37.3% of total raw material purchases'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.5

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.3
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5INSIDER 1.54%=EXTREMEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $37.52Resistance $47.03

Price Targets

$36
$48
A.Upside+24.3%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Insider activity: 1.54%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TGLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (96.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $36.39. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TGLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.45 (+24.3% upside). Prior stop was $36.39. Stop-loss: $36.39.

What are the risks of investing in TGLS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (96.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is TGLS overvalued or undervalued?

Tecnoglass Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TGLS?

9 analysts cover TGLS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Tecnoglass Inc. do?Tecnoglass manufactures aluminum/vinyl windows and architectural glass at its 6.1M sq ft vertically integrated facility...

Tecnoglass manufactures aluminum/vinyl windows and architectural glass at its 6.1M sq ft vertically integrated facility in Barranquilla, Colombia, selling 96% of revenues in the U.S. market. In 2025, Florida comprised more than 90% of U.S. revenue; residential sales were 41% of total sales. Two suppliers accounted for 37.3% of raw material purchases.

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