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USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Hold6.2·$123.38
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United States Lime and Minerals is a high-quality building materials company with 35% net margins, a top-ranked return on equity versus peers, and a Piotroski financial strength score of 8 out of 9 — but 3 consecutive earnings misses and a news modifier pulling the outlook negative reduce the near-term setup quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Growth Ratio↑Improving
  • Best In Class Margins↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Miss Streak→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $123.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

$123.38-9.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.39%
IncomeYield0.19%(5y avg 0.28%)Payout5.17%sustainable
Stop $114.74Analyst target $111.35(reached)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst consensus$131.00+6.2%1 analysts with price targets
Range unavailable (1 analysts with price targets)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $123.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 30, 2026

Recent Developments — United States Lime & Minerals,

Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202790d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.6
P/E (Fwd)20.5
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA16.9
Profit Mgn35.1%
ROE20.0%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.67
Dividend0.19%
Analysts with ratings7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV46%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.2
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $103.40Resistance $126.03

Price Targets

A.Upside-9.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.8% upside)
! News modifier -1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USLM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $123.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $111.35 reached (−9.8%), stop $114.74 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USLM stock price target?

Analyst target $111.35 reached (−9.8% from $123.38); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $111.35 reached (−9.8%), stop $114.74 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $114.74.

What are the risks of investing in USLM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?

United States Lime & Minerals, trades at a P/E of 26.6 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about USLM?

7 analysts rate USLM, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $131.

What does United States Lime & Minerals, do?United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950,...

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

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