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USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Hold5.9·$110.99+4.23%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United States Lime and Minerals is a high-quality building materials company with 35% net margins, a top-ranked return on equity versus peers, and a Piotroski financial strength score of 8 out of 9 — but 3 consecutive earnings misses and a news modifier pulling the outlook negative reduce the near-term setup quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Growth RatioDeteriorating
  • Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $110.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

$110.99-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.74%
IncomeYield0.23%(5y avg 0.37%)Payout5.29%sustainable
Entry $97.78(support + ATR)Stop $93.38Target $108.98(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$130.00+17.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $110.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $110.99 has reached target $108.98. No upside to wait for. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.4
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn35.4%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth-3.7%
Beta0.72
Dividend0.23%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.2
52w Position
5.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 3 days
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $96.27Resistance $111.20

Price Targets

$93
$98
$109
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.4% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USLM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $110.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $110.99 has reached target $108.98. No upside to wait for. Target $108.98 (-1.8%), stop $93.38 (−18.9%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $108.98 (-0.4% upside). Target $108.98 (-1.8%), stop $93.38 (−18.9%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Stop-loss: $93.38.

What are the risks of investing in USLM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?

United States Lime & Minerals, trades at a P/E of 24.4 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about USLM?

7 analysts cover USLM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $130.

What does United States Lime & Minerals, do?United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950,...

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

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