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USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Sell5.5·$102.78-4.39%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United States Lime and Minerals is a high-quality building materials company with 35% net margins, a top-ranked return on equity versus peers, and a Piotroski financial strength score of 8 out of 9 — but 3 consecutive earnings misses and a news modifier pulling the outlook negative reduce the near-term setup quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Growth RatioStable
  • Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. At $102.78, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 7.5%.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

$102.78+7.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.80%
IncomeYield0.22%(5y avg 0.37%)Payout5.29%sustainable
Stop $97.97Target $110.50(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$130.00+26.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $102.78, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 7.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.5%
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.7
P/E (Fwd)18.4
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn35.4%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth-3.7%
Beta0.72
Dividend0.22%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.1
Macd
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 22.0%
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $101.00Resistance $115.21

Price Targets

$98
$111
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $102.78, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 7.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $97.97. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.50 (+7.5% upside). Prior stop was $97.97. Stop-loss: $97.97.

What are the risks of investing in USLM?

Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?

United States Lime & Minerals, trades at a P/E of 23.7 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about USLM?

7 analysts cover USLM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $130.

What does United States Lime & Minerals, do?United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950,...

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

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