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United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. At $104.12, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

$104.12+12.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#4 of 12 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.85%
IncomeYield0.23%(5y avg 0.38%)Payout5.29%sustainable
Stop $99.50Target $117.30(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$138.00+32.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $104.12, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — United States Lime & Minerals,

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.0
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn35.4%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth-3.7%
Beta0.70
Dividend0.23%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 16, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 23.0%
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
16 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $102.58Resistance $138.30

Price Targets

$100
$117
A.Upside+12.7%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $104.12, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $99.50. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.30 (+12.4% upside). Prior stop was $99.50. Stop-loss: $99.50.

What are the risks of investing in USLM?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?

United States Lime & Minerals, trades at a P/E of 23.0 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about USLM?

7 analysts cover USLM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $138.

What does United States Lime & Minerals, do?United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950,...

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the "Company," the "Registrant," "We" or "Our"), which was incorporated in 1950, conducts lime and limestone operations.

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