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JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.82: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

JetBlue Airways serves 112 destinations across the US, Caribbean/Latin America, Canada, and Europe with 288 aircraft as of December 31, 2025, concentrating 95% of routes through six focus cities including the New York metro area, Boston, and Fort Lauderdale. Revenue comes from... Read more

$4.82+25.2% A.UpsideScore 3.6/10#12 of 12 Airlines
Stop $4.49Target $6.04(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$4.73-1.9%16 analysts
$6.04our TP
$4.82price
$4.73mean
$2
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.82: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan market
Target reached (-11.8% upside)
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.9
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA36.6
Profit Mgn-7.8%
ROE-33.5%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta1.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV87%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNew York metropolitan market
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend greatly on the New York metropolitan market'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.4
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
2.8
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -12% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.7
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
8.3

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
10.0
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.30Resistance $6.16

Price Targets

$4
$6
A.Upside+25.3%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBLU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.82: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $4.49. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

What is the JBLU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.04 (+25.2% upside). Prior stop was $4.49. Stop-loss: $4.49.

What are the risks of investing in JBLU?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan market; Target reached (-11.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is JBLU overvalued or undervalued?

JetBlue Airways Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBLU?

24 analysts cover JBLU with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $5.

What does JetBlue Airways Corporation do?JetBlue Airways serves 112 destinations across the US, Caribbean/Latin America, Canada, and Europe with 288 aircraft as...

JetBlue Airways serves 112 destinations across the US, Caribbean/Latin America, Canada, and Europe with 288 aircraft as of December 31, 2025, concentrating 95% of routes through six focus cities including the New York metro area, Boston, and Fort Lauderdale. Revenue comes from passenger fares across Core, EvenMore, and Mint tiers plus ancillaries, with Caribbean/Latin America (36.5% of ASMs) and Florida (25.4%) dominating capacity. The company launched a Blue Sky collaboration with United Airlines in 2025.

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