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JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.40: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

JetBlue is a U.S. airline serving 112 destinations across the U.S., Caribbean, Latin America, Canada, and Europe with 288 aircraft and ~23,000 employees. Revenue is earned through ticket fares, ancillary services (EvenMore, Mint), and the TrueBlue loyalty program, with 95% of... Read more

$4.40+23.7% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#12 of 12 Airlines
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-64.45%
Stop $4.24Target $5.42(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$4.82+9.6%16 analysts
$5.42our TP
$4.40price
$4.82mean
$2
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.40: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val4.4Qual0.9Grw3.7Mom2.2Sent5.7Ins5.0Peer3.3Tech7.3Risk3.03.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — JetBlue Airways Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan market
Concentration risk — Supplier: Pratt & Whitney
Target reached (-0.9% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-6.2
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA36.2
Profit Mgn-7.8%
ROE-33.5%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta1.69
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicCaribbean & Latin America37%
    10-K Item 1: 'Caribbean & Latin America (1)| | 36.5 | | | 35.9 | | | 33.2 |'
  • HIGHGeographicNew York metropolitan market
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend greatly on the New York metropolitan market'
  • HIGHSupplierPratt & Whitney
    10-K Item 1: 'In July 2023, Pratt & Whitney, a division of RTX Corporation, announced the requirement, mandated by the FAA, for removal of certain engines for inspection'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.4
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
2.8
Moat
3.1
Cash-burning: FCF -12% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.7
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
8.3

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.37Resistance $5.53

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside+23.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBLU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.40: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $4.24. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the JBLU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.42 (+23.7% upside). Prior stop was $4.24. Stop-loss: $4.24.

What are the risks of investing in JBLU?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan market; Concentration risk — Supplier: Pratt & Whitney; Target reached (-0.9% upside).

Is JBLU overvalued or undervalued?

JetBlue Airways Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBLU?

24 analysts cover JBLU with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $5.

What does JetBlue Airways Corporation do?JetBlue is a U.S. airline serving 112 destinations across the U.S., Caribbean, Latin America, Canada, and Europe with...

JetBlue is a U.S. airline serving 112 destinations across the U.S., Caribbean, Latin America, Canada, and Europe with 288 aircraft and ~23,000 employees. Revenue is earned through ticket fares, ancillary services (EvenMore, Mint), and the TrueBlue loyalty program, with 95% of routes touching one of six focus cities. Caribbean & Latin America represents 36.5% of 2025 capacity, Florida 25.4%, and Transcontinental 26.0%.

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