Skip to main content

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $202.22 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: oxybate revenues.

Jazz Pharmaceuticals is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on rare diseases including epilepsies, cancers, and sleep disorders, with marketed products including Xywav, Epidiolex, Ziihera, Zepzelca, and Rylaze. Revenue is derived from specialty pharmaceutical sales... Read more

$202.22+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#49 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $191.66Target $202.98(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$225.53+11.5%17 analysts
$202.98our TP
$202.22price
$225.53mean
$188
$275

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $202.22 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: oxybate revenues. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: oxybate revenues
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.5% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$12.5B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn-8.3%
ROE-8.5%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta0.23
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$55-72.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductoxybate revenues
    10-K Item 1A: 'our business will continue to be meaningfully dependent on oxybate revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 5 days

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
5.0
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $184.18Resistance $207.48

Price Targets

$192
$203
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.4% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JAZZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $202.22 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: oxybate revenues. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $191.66. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JAZZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $202.98 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $191.66. Stop-loss: $191.66.

What are the risks of investing in JAZZ?

Concentration risk — Product: oxybate revenues; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away).

Is JAZZ overvalued or undervalued?

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JAZZ?

23 analysts cover JAZZ with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $226.

What does Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc do?Jazz Pharmaceuticals is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on rare diseases including epilepsies, cancers, and...

Jazz Pharmaceuticals is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on rare diseases including epilepsies, cancers, and sleep disorders, with marketed products including Xywav, Epidiolex, Ziihera, Zepzelca, and Rylaze. Revenue is derived from specialty pharmaceutical sales primarily in the US, concentrated in rare disease markets with small patient populations and efficient call points.

Related stocks: NVAX (Novavax, Inc.) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.)