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SCZMSantacruz Silver Mining Ltd.Hold5.7·$8.89
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Santacruz Silver Mining combines a rock-bottom valuation (PEG 0.06) and high fundamental quality (35% ROE, 9/9 Piotroski) with 81% revenue growth, but a two-quarter earnings-miss streak and a recent news-driven downgrade to a more cautious stance argue for a staged entry rather than an immediate full position.

Thesis pillars

  • News Driven Sentiment Downgrade↑Improving
  • Deep Value At Low Peg→Stable
  • High Quality Fundamentals→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. (SCZM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Sector Rotation edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and operation of mineral properties in Latin America. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It also... Read more

$8.89+43.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#9 of 33 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.73%
Stop $8.27Target $12.75(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$15.00+68.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 26, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Contrarian signal: extreme negativity (-0.73) on quality business
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.7
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$847M
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE22.5%
Rev Growth54.8%
Beta2.78
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.8
Ma Position
2.5
Macd
3.4
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.1
Support Resistance
5.0
Bollinger
5.2
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $8.17Resistance $9.62

Price Targets

$8
$13
A.Upside+43.4%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-26 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCZM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $12.75 (+43.4%), stop $8.27 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCZM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.75 (+43.4% upside). Target $12.75 (+43.4%), stop $8.27 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Stop-loss: $8.27.

What are the risks of investing in SCZM?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is SCZM overvalued or undervalued?

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of 21.7 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SCZM?

9 analysts cover SCZM with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. do?Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development,...

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and operation of mineral properties in Latin America. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It also holds a portfolio of mineral properties in Mexico and Bolivia. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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