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SCZMSantacruz Silver Mining Ltd.Sell5.5·$10.40+13.04%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Santacruz Silver Mining combines a rock-bottom valuation (PEG 0.06) and high fundamental quality (35% ROE, 9/9 Piotroski) with 81% revenue growth, but a two-quarter earnings-miss streak and a recent news-driven downgrade to a more cautious stance argue for a staged entry rather than an immediate full position.

Thesis pillars

  • News Driven Sentiment DowngradeStable
  • Deep Value At Low PegImproving
  • High Quality FundamentalsStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. (SCZM) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and operation of mineral properties in Latin America. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It also... Read more

$10.40-16.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 33 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.69%
Stop $9.47Target $11.71(default +15%)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$10.00-3.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 26, 202685d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$856M
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE22.5%
Rev Growth54.8%
Beta2.80
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.8
Bollinger
0.9
52w Position
1.5
Gap
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $7.60Resistance $10.39

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside-16.5%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.5% upside)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-26 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCZM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.47. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCZM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.71 (-16.5% upside). Prior stop was $9.47. Stop-loss: $9.47.

What are the risks of investing in SCZM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is SCZM overvalued or undervalued?

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCZM?

9 analysts cover SCZM with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. do?Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development,...

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and operation of mineral properties in Latin America. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It also holds a portfolio of mineral properties in Mexico and Bolivia. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: NEXA (Nexa Resources S.A.) · ELVR (Elevra Lithium Limited - Americ) · CRML (Critical Metals Corp.) · ALOY (REalloys Inc.) · LAR (Lithium Argentina AG)
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