Coty Inc. (COTY) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.44: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
Coty is a global beauty company with brands across fragrance, color cosmetics, and skin and body care in Prestige (Gucci, Marc Jacobs, Burberry) and Consumer Beauty (CoverGirl, Rimmel, Sally Hansen) segments. Revenue is generated through retail and e-commerce sales of owned and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.44: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerkey retailers (>10% of net revenues in certain geographies)10-K Item 1A: 'certain retailers account for over 10% of our net revenues in certain geographies, including the U.S.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUMBoard restructuring: Ballini, Parize, Makanju resigned immediately; Singer to resign June 30, 2026; von Bretten moved to exec role. Five new independent directors appointed (Fischer, Kunze-Concewitz, Gogi, Liuni, Plaines). No disagreements cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -9.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.44: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $2.26. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $2.78 (+14.2% upside). Prior stop was $2.26. Stop-loss: $2.26.
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
Coty Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover COTY with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $3.
What does Coty Inc. do?Coty is a global beauty company with brands across fragrance, color cosmetics, and skin and body care in Prestige...
Coty is a global beauty company with brands across fragrance, color cosmetics, and skin and body care in Prestige (Gucci, Marc Jacobs, Burberry) and Consumer Beauty (CoverGirl, Rimmel, Sally Hansen) segments. Revenue is generated through retail and e-commerce sales of owned and licensed brands worldwide.