IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Computer Hardware
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.61: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
IonQ is an early-stage quantum computing company offering cloud-accessible quantum computers via AWS Braket, Azure Quantum, and Google Cloud Marketplace, plus quantum networking, sensing, and security products. It recorded a net loss of $510.4M in 2025 with an accumulated... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.61: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerfew customers10-K Item 1A: 'Much of our revenue is concentrated in a few customers, and if we lose any of these customers through contract terminations, acquisitions, or other means, our revenue may decrease substantially.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-25Item 5.02LOWBoard elected William F. Scannell (age 63) as Class II director effective March 20, 2026, filling a newly added seat. He joins the Compensation Committee. Routine board appointment, no departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.61: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $39.86. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $56.16 (+31.0% upside). Prior stop was $39.86. Stop-loss: $39.86.
Concentration risk — Customer: few customers; Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.0%), High leverage (D/E 5.1), Material insider selling (78 sells, 0.36% of cap).
IonQ, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -47.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover IONQ with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $65.
What does IonQ, Inc. do?IonQ is an early-stage quantum computing company offering cloud-accessible quantum computers via AWS Braket, Azure...
IonQ is an early-stage quantum computing company offering cloud-accessible quantum computers via AWS Braket, Azure Quantum, and Google Cloud Marketplace, plus quantum networking, sensing, and security products. It recorded a net loss of $510.4M in 2025 with an accumulated deficit of $1,194.1M.