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Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 end customers; Concentration risk — Supplier: Broadcom.

Arista Networks designs and sells cloud networking products (high-speed switches, routers, software) primarily to Cloud and AI Titans, AI/specialty providers, and enterprises. Two unnamed end customers represented 26% and 16% of total 2025 revenue respectively; revenue grows as... Read more

$141.60+19.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 14 Computer Hardware
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.44%
Stop $131.67Target $169.37(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$188.19+32.9%27 analysts
$169.37our TP
$141.60price
$188.19mean
$220

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 end customers; Concentration risk — Supplier: Broadcom. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Arista Networks, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 end customers
Concentration risk — Supplier: Broadcom
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.7
P/E (Fwd)31.8
Mkt Cap$178.4B
EV/EBITDA39.2
Profit Mgn38.3%
ROE31.5%
Rev Growth35.1%
Beta1.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.00bearish
IV61%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-2 end customers
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to these two customers represented 26% and 16% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, respectively.'
  • HIGHSupplierBroadcom
    10-K Item 1A: 'we are primarily reliant upon our predominant merchant silicon vendor, Broadcom, for our switching chips.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 28)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.6
Forward Pe
3.6
Peg Ratio
4.7
Analyst Target
7.5
Forward P/E: 31.8xPEG: 1.82
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $135.13Resistance $179.80

Price Targets

$132
$169
A.Upside+19.6%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANET stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 end customers; Concentration risk — Supplier: Broadcom. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $169.37 (+19.6%), stop $131.67 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANET stock price target?

Take-profit target: $169.37 (+19.6% upside). Target $169.37 (+19.6%), stop $131.67 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $131.67.

What are the risks of investing in ANET?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-2 end customers; Concentration risk — Supplier: Broadcom; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is ANET overvalued or undervalued?

Arista Networks, Inc. trades at a P/E of 48.7 (forward 31.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ANET?

34 analysts cover ANET with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $188.

What does Arista Networks, Inc. do?Arista Networks designs and sells cloud networking products (high-speed switches, routers, software) primarily to Cloud...

Arista Networks designs and sells cloud networking products (high-speed switches, routers, software) primarily to Cloud and AI Titans, AI/specialty providers, and enterprises. Two unnamed end customers represented 26% and 16% of total 2025 revenue respectively; revenue grows as AI infrastructure spending accelerates.

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