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Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.99: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Rigetti Computing builds and operates superconducting quantum computers, delivering access via its QCS cloud platform and QPU sales. Revenue is primarily from multi-year technology development contracts with government agencies (DARPA, DOE, AFRL, NASA) and commercial partners... Read more

$15.99+59.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 14 Computer Hardware
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-0.11%
Stop $14.84Target $25.44(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$29.24+82.9%12 analysts
$25.44our TP
$15.99price
$29.24mean
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.99: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val9.0Qual1.9Grw10.0Mom1.9Sent7.4Ins5.2Peer4.2Tech5.9Risk4.25.7OVERALL

Recent Developments — Rigetti Computing, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (19 sells, 0.06% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-81.7
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA-63.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-57.1%
Rev Growth198.9%
Beta1.80
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV102%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
2.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
6.0
Cash-burning: FCF -62% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.30Resistance $21.02

Price Targets

$15
$25
A.Upside+59.1%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (19 sells, 0.06% of cap)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RGTI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.99: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $14.84. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RGTI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.44 (+59.4% upside). Prior stop was $14.84. Stop-loss: $14.84.

What are the risks of investing in RGTI?

Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (19 sells, 0.06% of cap).

Is RGTI overvalued or undervalued?

Rigetti Computing, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -81.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RGTI?

18 analysts cover RGTI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Rigetti Computing, Inc. do?Rigetti Computing builds and operates superconducting quantum computers, delivering access via its QCS cloud platform...

Rigetti Computing builds and operates superconducting quantum computers, delivering access via its QCS cloud platform and QPU sales. Revenue is primarily from multi-year technology development contracts with government agencies (DARPA, DOE, AFRL, NASA) and commercial partners including AWS and Microsoft Azure; company carries accumulated deficit of $771M.

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