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GGenpact LimitedHold6.0·$27.85-2.38%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An IT services business with a perfect four-quarter beat streak, a forward P/E of 6.9 times earnings, and a 19% margin of safety relative to analyst consensus offers compelling value and a favorable risk/reward of 2.7-to-1 — but two failed technical gates and a confirmed downtrend with falling volume mean the setup cannot be acted on until the chart structure reverses.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Margin Of SafetyStable
  • Perfect Four Quarter Beat StreakStable
  • Strong Cash Generation Balance SheetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Genpact Limited (G) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Genpact provides business process management and advanced technology solutions across financial services, consumer/healthcare, and high tech/manufacturing segments, serving approximately one quarter of the Fortune Global 500 from operations in 35+ countries. The company... Read more

$27.85+32.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield14.72%
IncomeYield2.63%(5y avg 1.33%)Payout21.40%sustainable
Stop $26.54Target $36.94(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$42.45+52.4%11 analysts
$36.94our TP
$27.85price
$42.45mean
$58

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Genpact Limited

About Genpact Limited

Genpact generated $5.1 billion in net revenues in 2025, distributed across High Tech and Manufacturing (39.3% of revenue), Consumer and Healthcare (34.0%), and Financial Services (26.7%). Over 146,500 employees in 35+ countries serve clients spanning approximately one quarter of the Fortune Global 500. Advanced Technology Solutions—Data and AI, advisory, and agentic services—contributed $1.2 billion, or 23.7% of total revenues, while Core Business Services accounted for the remaining $3.9 billion.

Genpact earns revenue through two broad service categories: Core Business Services ($3.9 billion, 76.3% of 2025 net revenues) encompasses Digital Operations managed services, Decision Support Services, and Technology Services; Advanced Technology Solutions (23.7%) includes Data and AI strategy, engineering, generative AI solutions, and agentic implementations. Contracts for Digital Operations typically take the form of a master services agreement supplemented by statements of work, while agentic and consulting engagements use SaaS or consulting frameworks. Data-Tech-AI services—advisory, technology engineering, and platform migration—contributed 48.1% of 2025 revenues ($2.5 billion), with Digital Operations comprising the remaining 51.9% ($2.6 billion). Client concentration risk is inherent in the long-term managed-services model; clients may reduce or cancel engagements with limited warning. In 2025, the company faced an attrition rate of 24% for all employees, with competition for AI and data engineering talent identified as intensifying.

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A material portion of Genpact's revenues is sourced from clients in North America—specifically the United States—and Europe, making the company particularly susceptible to demand contractions or political uncertainty in those markets. The 10-K discloses that volatile or uncertain economic conditions in these key geographies could have a material adverse effect on Genpact's results of operations. U.S. policy shifts under the current presidential administration, including changes to trade, immigration, and technology regulation, are specifically identified as amplifying uncertainty for the company's client base and its own cost structures.

See also: Technology · Information Technology Services

From Genpact Limited's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 42%
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.8
P/E (Fwd)6.4
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE23.1%
Rev Growth6.7%
Beta0.59
Dividend2.63%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicNorth America and Europe
    10-K Item 1A: 'A material portion of our revenues is derived from our clients in North America — in particular the United States — and Europe'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
5.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.36Resistance $34.43

Price Targets

$27
$37
A.Upside+32.6%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is G stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $27.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $36.94 (+32.6%), stop $26.54 (−4.9%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the G stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.94 (+32.6% upside). Target $36.94 (+32.6%), stop $26.54 (−4.9%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Stop-loss: $26.54.

What are the risks of investing in G?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is G overvalued or undervalued?

Genpact Limited trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about G?

20 analysts cover G with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Genpact Limited do?Genpact provides business process management and advanced technology solutions across financial services,...

Genpact provides business process management and advanced technology solutions across financial services, consumer/healthcare, and high tech/manufacturing segments, serving approximately one quarter of the Fortune Global 500 from operations in 35+ countries. The company generated $5.1 billion in net revenues in 2025, split between Core Business Services (76.3%) and Advanced Technology Solutions including Data and AI and agentic capabilities (23.7%).

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