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GGenpact LimitedSell5.8·$39.20
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An IT services business with a perfect four-quarter beat streak, a forward P/E of 6.9 times earnings, and a 19% margin of safety relative to analyst consensus offers compelling value and a favorable risk/reward of 2.7-to-1 — but two failed technical gates and a confirmed downtrend with falling volume mean the setup cannot be acted on until the chart structure reverses.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Margin Of Safety→Stable
  • Perfect Four Quarter Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Strong Cash Generation Balance Sheet→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Genpact Limited (G) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Genpact provides business process management and advanced technology solutions across financial services, consumer/healthcare, and high tech/manufacturing segments, serving approximately one quarter of the Fortune Global 500 from operations in 35+ countries. The company... Read more

$39.20-4.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#13 of 44 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.31%
IncomeYield1.91%(5y avg 1.34%)Payout21.28%sustainable
Stop $36.46Analyst target $37.33(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$42.91+9.5%11 analysts
$39.20price
$42.91mean
$36
$58

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news soft restructuring. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Genpact Limited

About Genpact Limited

Genpact generated $5.1 billion in net revenues in 2025, distributed across High Tech and Manufacturing (39.3% of revenue), Consumer and Healthcare (34.0%), and Financial Services (26.7%). Over 146,500 employees in 35+ countries serve clients spanning approximately one quarter of the Fortune Global 500. Advanced Technology Solutions—Data and AI, advisory, and agentic services—contributed $1.2 billion, or 23.7% of total revenues, while Core Business Services accounted for the remaining $3.9 billion.

Genpact earns revenue through two broad service categories: Core Business Services ($3.9 billion, 76.3% of 2025 net revenues) encompasses Digital Operations managed services, Decision Support Services, and Technology Services; Advanced Technology Solutions (23.7%) includes Data and AI strategy, engineering, generative AI solutions, and agentic implementations. Contracts for Digital Operations typically take the form of a master services agreement supplemented by statements of work, while agentic and consulting engagements use SaaS or consulting frameworks. Data-Tech-AI services—advisory, technology engineering, and platform migration—contributed 48.1% of 2025 revenues ($2.5 billion), with Digital Operations comprising the remaining 51.9% ($2.6 billion). Client concentration risk is inherent in the long-term managed-services model; clients may reduce or cancel engagements with limited warning. In 2025, the company faced an attrition rate of 24% for all employees, with competition for AI and data engineering talent identified as intensifying.

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A material portion of Genpact's revenues is sourced from clients in North America—specifically the United States—and Europe, making the company particularly susceptible to demand contractions or political uncertainty in those markets. The 10-K discloses that volatile or uncertain economic conditions in these key geographies could have a material adverse effect on Genpact's results of operations. U.S. policy shifts under the current presidential administration, including changes to trade, immigration, and technology regulation, are specifically identified as amplifying uncertainty for the company's client base and its own cost structures.

See also: Technology · Information Technology Services

From Genpact Limited's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 53%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Insider selling

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.7
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$6.6B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn11.1%
ROE22.4%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta0.58
Dividend1.91%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$30-23.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicNorth America and Europe
    10-K Item 1A: 'A material portion of our revenues is derived from our clients in North America — in particular the United States — and Europe'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.6
Support Resistance
2.8
52w Position
6.4
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVENEWS SOFT RESTRUCTURINGMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.08Resistance $41.91

Price Targets

A.Upside-4.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! NEWS_SOFT:RESTRUCTURING

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is G stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $36.46. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the G stock price target?

Analyst target $37.33 reached (−4.8% from $39.20); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $36.46. Stop-loss: $36.46.

What are the risks of investing in G?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Insider selling.

Is G overvalued or undervalued?

Genpact Limited trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about G?

20 analysts cover G with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Genpact Limited do?Genpact provides business process management and advanced technology solutions across financial services,...

Genpact provides business process management and advanced technology solutions across financial services, consumer/healthcare, and high tech/manufacturing segments, serving approximately one quarter of the Fortune Global 500 from operations in 35+ countries. The company generated $5.1 billion in net revenues in 2025, split between Core Business Services (76.3%) and Advanced Technology Solutions including Data and AI and agentic capabilities (23.7%).

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