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INGING Group, N.V.Hold5.3·$32.84
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats averaging roughly 9.5% above consensus reflect disciplined execution, yet the stock has essentially reached its near-term resistance target with a risk/reward of only 0.26-to-1 and 1.1% headroom remaining—leaving little case for adding capital at current prices despite solid financial health.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Outperformance↓Deteriorating
  • Unfavorable Risk Reward At Target→Stable
  • Technical Accumulation Above Trend→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ING Group, N.V. (ING) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Retail Netherlands, Retail Belgium, Retail Germany, Retail Other, and Wholesale Banking. It... Read more

$32.84-5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#16 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.02%(5y avg 5.36%)Payout48.14%sustainable
Stop $31.22Analyst target $31.17(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$36.67+11.7%3 analysts with price targets
$32.84price
$36.67mean
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — ING Group, N.V.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:12Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 202784d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.1
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$93.3B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn34.4%
ROE17.8%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta—
Dividend4.02%
Analysts with ratings28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C4.13bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$25-23.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.5
Revenue Growth
3.6
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.86Resistance $34.04

Price Targets

A.Upside-5.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! News modifier suppressed: positive news (+2) cannot lift HOLD to buy-class with analyst upside -5.1% (lift floor +1.5%)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ING stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $31.17 reached (−5.1%), stop $31.22 (−5.2%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ING stock price target?

Analyst target $31.17 reached (−5.1% from $32.84); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $31.17 reached (−5.1%), stop $31.22 (−5.2%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $31.22.

What are the risks of investing in ING?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is ING overvalued or undervalued?

ING Group, N.V. trades at a P/E of 12.1 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ING?

28 analysts rate ING, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 3 analysts publish price targets averaging $37.

What does ING Group, N.V. do?ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and...

ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Retail Netherlands, Retail Belgium, Retail Germany, Retail Other, and Wholesale Banking. It accepts current and savings accounts; and time deposits. The company also offers business lending products; SME loans; consumer lending products, such as residential mortgage loans and other consumer lending loans; and mortgages. In addition, it provides working capital solutions; debt and equity market solutions; various loans; payments; and cash management, trade and corporate finance, and treasury services, as well as savings, investment, insurance, and digital banking services. The company serves individual customers, corporate clients, and financial institutions. ING Groep N.V. was founded in 1762 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

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