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ICON plc (ICLR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-20). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $107.73. At $111.51 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $107.73 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

ICON Public Limited Company, a clinical research organization, provides outsourced development and commercialization services in Ireland, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company specializes in the strategic development, management, and analysis of... Read more

$111.51+11.4% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#26 of 26 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.48%
Entry $107.73(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $95.19Target $119.34(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$132.60+18.9%15 analysts
$119.34our TP
$111.51price
$132.60mean
$90
$180

Wait for pullback to $107.73. At $111.51 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $107.73 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — ICON plc

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.9%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$8.8B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn7.4%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta1.23
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.66bullish
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$60-46.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.7

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
4.1
Value Rank
9.5
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $99.06Resistance $129.73

Price Targets

$95
$108
$119
A.Upside+7.0%
A.R:R0.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-20 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICLR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $107.73. At $111.51 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $107.73 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $119.34 (+7.0%), stop $95.19 (−17.1%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ICLR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $119.34 (+11.4% upside). Target $119.34 (+7.0%), stop $95.19 (−17.1%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $95.19.

What are the risks of investing in ICLR?

Thin upside margin: 5.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

Is ICLR overvalued or undervalued?

ICON plc trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ICLR?

23 analysts cover ICLR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $133.

What does ICON plc do?ICON Public Limited Company, a clinical research organization, provides outsourced development and commercialization...

ICON Public Limited Company, a clinical research organization, provides outsourced development and commercialization services in Ireland, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company specializes in the strategic development, management, and analysis of programs that support various stages of the clinical development process from compound selection to Phase I-IV clinical studies. It also provides clinical development services, including all phases of development, peri and post approval, data solutions, and site and patient access services; clinical trial management, consulting, and contract staffing services; and commercial services comprising clinical development strategy, planning and trial design, full study execution, and post-market commercialization. In addition, the company offers laboratory services, including bionanalytical, biomarker, vaccine, good manufacturing practice, and central laboratory services, as well as full-service and functional service partnerships to customers. Further, the company provides adaptive trials, cardiac safety solutions, clinical and scientific operations, consulting and advisory, commercial positioning, decentralized and hybrid clinical trials, early clinical, laboratories, language services, medical imaging, real world intelligence, site and patient, and strategic solutions. It serves pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries, as well as government and public health organizations. The company has a strategic alliance with Advarra, Inc. for the development of a connected, research-ready clinical trial site network model. ICON Public Limited Company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

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