Value
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.5 |
| P/S | 9.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.8 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 12.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.48
ICLR · Why this verdict
Why ICON (ICLR) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.8 |
| ROA | 2.6 |
| Gross margin | 1.3 |
| Op margin | 4.2 |
| Net margin | 1.4 |
| Current ratio | 4.3 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 5.6 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 336% FCF/NI
Growth
5.6/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 5.6 |
Momentum
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.6 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 75)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.0 |
| Analyst rating | 7.3 |
| Price target | 5.7 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
3.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.1 |
| quality rank | 3.3 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
Technical
3.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.0 |
| support resistance | 2.0 |
| 52w position | 3.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.0 |
| days to cover | 8.4 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 5.2 |
| implied vol | 2.3 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.9 |
| debt equity | 8.5 |
- ▸High IV: 66%
- ▸Above max pain $60
Catalyst
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 1.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Earnings in 0 days
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L3:NEWS_BLOCK|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (4)
- MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-0.4=NEGATIVE
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.40
Upside
-6.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
A recent news event triggered an L3 news-block on the verdict path. Trigger: Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. The 10-dimension scores remain Value at 6.9 (strongest), but MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5 also fails — the news block is the proximate trigger, not the sole driver.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 6.9, Sentiment at 6.1, and Growth at 5.6; the weakest are Technical at 3.0, Peer rank at 3.3, and Momentum at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 4 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.40 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.