HP Inc. (HPQ) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the HPQ stock price target?

Take-profit $22.31 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $19.71.

Q: What are the risks of investing in HPQ?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Canon; Target reached (-16.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0); Target reached (-16.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Q: Is HPQ overvalued or undervalued?

HP Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.9 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about HPQ?

26 analysts cover HPQ with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $20.

Q: What does HP Inc. do?

HP Inc. makes personal computers (desktops, notebooks, workstations) and printing products (consumer, office, graphics) for global commercial and consumer markets through Personal Systems and Printing segments. Revenue comes from hardware sales, supplies, and services; approximately 55,000 employees worldwide. The company relies on Canon for certain laser printer engines and on Intel, AMD, and NVIDIA as sole or primary processor suppliers.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 6 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 11:01 AM ET)

Technology · Computer Hardware

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-27). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.20: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

$21.20+5.3% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#13 of 14 Computer Hardware

QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield14.68%

IncomeYield5.72%(5y avg 3.56%)Payout44.25%sustainable

Stop $19.71Target $22.31(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1

Analyst target$19.62-7.5%16 analysts

$22.31our TP

$21.20price

$19.62mean

$16

$26

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — HP Inc.

Latest news

10 Information Technology Stocks Whale Activity In Today's Session — benzinga May 13, 2026 neutral
Nvidia Denies Rumors About Acquiring PC Maker; HP, Dell Stocks Still Spike Over 5% — Analyst Says Rivals May Eye Deal In — benzinga Apr 13, 2026 positive
Dell Stock Gives Back Gains After Hours: What's Happening? — benzinga Apr 13, 2026 neutral
CNBC Nasdaq Correspondent Kristina Partsinevelos Posts On X" Nvidia tells CNBC: "the media report is false; NVIDIA is no — benzinga Apr 13, 2026 neutral
Dell Technologies Soars On Takeover Rumor - Will NVIDIA Make The Move? — benzinga Apr 13, 2026 neutral

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Supplier: Canon

Target reached (-16.7% upside)

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.9

P/E (Fwd)7.0

Mkt Cap$19.3B

EV/EBITDA6.0

Profit Mgn4.5%

ROE—

Rev Growth6.9%

Beta1.11

Dividend5.72%

Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral

IV71%elevated

Max Pain$13-38.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHSupplierCanon
10-K Item 1A: 'we rely on Canon for certain laser printer engines and laser toner cartridges and certain key suppliers for application specific integrated circuits ("ASICs")'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-04-21Item 5.02LOW
At 2026 annual meeting on April 16, 2026, stockholders approved Fifth Amended and Restated HP Inc. 2004 Stock Incentive Plan, adding 73,600,000 shares. Routine equity plan expansion; no officer departure.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.115%1.06

Quality3.715%0.56

Growth3.015%0.45

Momentum4.610%0.46

Sentiment4.510%0.45

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.010%0.40

Technical Setup4.55%0.23

Risk Profile4.05%0.20

Catalyst4.85%0.24

Overall (Σ contributions)4.55

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth

1.7

Revenue Growth

4.2

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.1

Net Margin

2.2

Operating Margin

2.5

Current Ratio

3.0

Roa

3.7

Moat

4.9

Piotroski F

5.6

Fcf Quality

7.6

No competitive moat

GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

53 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.50Resistance $22.77

Price Targets

$20

$22

A.Upside+5.2%

A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.7% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-27 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HPQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.20: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $19.71. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HPQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.31 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $19.71. Stop-loss: $19.71.

What are the risks of investing in HPQ?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Canon; Target reached (-16.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is HPQ overvalued or undervalued?

HP Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.9 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HPQ?

26 analysts cover HPQ with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $20.

What does HP Inc. do?HP Inc. makes personal computers (desktops, notebooks, workstations) and printing products (consumer, office, graphics)...

HP Inc. makes personal computers (desktops, notebooks, workstations) and printing products (consumer, office, graphics) for global commercial and consumer markets through Personal Systems and Printing segments. Revenue comes from hardware sales, supplies, and services; approximately 55,000 employees worldwide. The company relies on Canon for certain laser printer engines and on Intel, AMD, and NVIDIA as sole or primary processor suppliers.