Skip to main content

Huntington Ingalls Industries, (HII) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $362.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Huntington Ingalls Industries is America largest shipbuilder, building nuclear and non-nuclear naval ships through Ingalls (Mississippi, non-nuclear) and Newport News (Virginia, nuclear) segments, plus Mission Technologies for defense tech solutions. Revenue derives almost... Read more

$362.14+12.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#15 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $341.49Target $405.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$407.09+12.4%11 analysts
$405.75our TP
$362.14price
$407.09mean
$307
$460

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $362.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$14.3B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth15.7%
Beta0.36
Dividend1.52%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.21bearish
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. Government
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our revenues in 2025 was derived from products and services sold to the U.S. Government.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.3
Rsi
8.9
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 17)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
17 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $352.05Resistance $414.03

Price Targets

$341
$406
A.Upside+12.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HII stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $362.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $405.75 (+12.0%), stop $341.49 (−6.0%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $405.75 (+12.0% upside). Target $405.75 (+12.0%), stop $341.49 (−6.0%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $341.49.

What are the risks of investing in HII?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is HII overvalued or undervalued?

Huntington Ingalls Industries, trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HII?

17 analysts cover HII with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $407.

What does Huntington Ingalls Industries, do?Huntington Ingalls Industries is America largest shipbuilder, building nuclear and non-nuclear naval ships through...

Huntington Ingalls Industries is America largest shipbuilder, building nuclear and non-nuclear naval ships through Ingalls (Mississippi, non-nuclear) and Newport News (Virginia, nuclear) segments, plus Mission Technologies for defense tech solutions. Revenue derives almost entirely from U.S. Department of Defense on long-term contracts; the company employs over 44,000 people.

Related stocks: MOG-B (Moog Inc.) · WWD (Woodward, Inc.) · LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) · TXT (Textron Inc.) · VSEC (VSE Corporation)