Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance
Wait for pullback to $29.96. BUY gates pass at $32.02, but concentration risk — Counterparty: Two Sigma / TS Hamilton Fund (37.0%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $29.96 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
Hamilton Insurance Group is a Bermuda-based global specialty insurance and reinsurance company with $2.9 billion in 2025 gross premiums written through Hamilton Global Specialty (International segment, 52% of GPW) and Hamilton Re (Bermuda segment, 48% of GPW). Investment returns... Read more
Wait for pullback to $29.96. BUY gates pass at $32.02, but concentration risk — Counterparty: Two Sigma / TS Hamilton Fund (37.0%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $29.96 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-8.0% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.
Latest news
- Hamilton Insurance Group (HG) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- Hamilton Insurance Group (HG) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
- HG Infra shares zoom almost 15% in trade today — here's why - MSN — MSN positive
- Insider Shake-Up: Major Hamilton Insurance Group Director Cashes In on Class B Shares - TipRanks — TipRanks negative
- Hamilton Insurance (HG) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHcounterpartyTwo Sigma / TS Hamilton Fund37%10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, Two Sigma manages $2.2 billion, or 37%, of our total invested assets, via our investment in the TS Hamilton Fund.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-06Item 5.02LOWPeter W. Wilson elected as new director at Hamilton's 2026 Annual General Meeting (May 5, 2026); appointed to Technology, Nominating and Governance, and Underwriting and Risk Committees. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-02Item 1.01MEDIUMHamilton Re entered new Investment Agreement with Two Sigma on April 1, 2026, replacing prior Commitment Agreement. New minimum commitment: lesser of $1.8B or 60% of Group net tangible assets; establishes two-tier withdrawal structure with 55-day and 6-month notice periods.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-02Item 1.02MEDIUMPrior Commitment Agreement dated July 1, 2023 (amended Jan 1, 2025) with Two Sigma terminated and superseded by new Investment Agreement effective April 1, 2026.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOWMarc N. Roston succeeded H. Hawes Bostic III as Magnitude Investor's shareholder-appointed director effective Feb 20, 2026. Bostic's departure not related to any disagreement. Roston joins Investments and Technology Committees.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $29.96. BUY gates pass at $32.02, but concentration risk — Counterparty: Two Sigma / TS Hamilton Fund (37.0%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $29.96 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-8.0% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $33.05 (+3.2%), stop $28.53 (−12.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $33.05 (+10.3% upside). Target $33.05 (+3.2%), stop $28.53 (−12.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $28.53.
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Two Sigma / TS Hamilton Fund (37.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.4): -1.5.
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.3 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
16 analysts cover HG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $34.
What does Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. do?Hamilton Insurance Group is a Bermuda-based global specialty insurance and reinsurance company with $2.9 billion in...
Hamilton Insurance Group is a Bermuda-based global specialty insurance and reinsurance company with $2.9 billion in 2025 gross premiums written through Hamilton Global Specialty (International segment, 52% of GPW) and Hamilton Re (Bermuda segment, 48% of GPW). Investment returns are supplemented by Two Sigma managing $2.2 billion (37%) of total invested assets through the dedicated TS Hamilton Fund.