Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) Stock Analysis
Temp Headwind edge
Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away).
Hamilton Insurance Group is a global specialty insurance and reinsurance company with $2.9 billion in gross premiums written in 2025, operating via Lloyd's Syndicate 4000 and HIDAC (International segment, 52% of GPW) and Hamilton Re in Bermuda (48% of GPW). Investment returns... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $32.79 has reached target $32.34. No upside to wait for. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of intermediaries10-K Item 1A: 'we rely on a limited number of intermediaries for a significant portion of our business'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-02Item 1.01MEDIUMHamilton Re entered new Investment Agreement with Two Sigma Hamilton Fund on April 1, 2026, committing minimum $1.8 billion or 60% of net tangible assets. Replaces prior 2023 Commitment Agreement.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-02Item 1.02MEDIUMPrior Commitment Agreement with Two Sigma dated July 1, 2023 (as amended January 1, 2025) terminated and replaced by new Investment Agreement effective April 1, 2026.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOWMarc Roston designated as new Magnitude Investor board designee effective February 20, 2026, replacing H. Hawes Bostic III. Departure not related to any disagreement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $32.79 has reached target $32.34. No upside to wait for. Target $32.34 (-1.4%), stop $28.76 (−14.0%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $32.34 (+7.6% upside). Target $32.34 (-1.4%), stop $28.76 (−14.0%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $28.76.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5.
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.8 (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.
15 analysts cover HG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $33.
What does Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. do?Hamilton Insurance Group is a global specialty insurance and reinsurance company with $2.9 billion in gross premiums...
Hamilton Insurance Group is a global specialty insurance and reinsurance company with $2.9 billion in gross premiums written in 2025, operating via Lloyd's Syndicate 4000 and HIDAC (International segment, 52% of GPW) and Hamilton Re in Bermuda (48% of GPW). Investment returns are generated through a unique relationship with Two Sigma's TS Hamilton Fund.